La Liga — Spain
Mon, Dec 1 2025 • 20:00 • Campo de Futbol de Vallecas
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.03 (league 1.45) 0.27 (league 1.13)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
55.1% 35.3% 9.5%
best score tips
1 - 0
28.2%
0 - 0
27.3%
2 - 0
14.5%
Score & goals probability table
Valencia
0 1 2 3 4 5
Rayo Vallecano 0 27.3% 7.3% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 28.2% 7.5% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 14.5% 3.9% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 5.0% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricRayo VallecanoValencia
Played55
Form53%33%
Attack33%17%
Defense67%42%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.82 | 0.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.87 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

62%
FT probability

2.5+

44%
FT probability

3.5+

31%
FT probability

BTTS

57%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Rayo Vallecano Valencia
HATHAT
Played58137613
Wins20%38%31%43%0%23%
Draws60%13%31%29%33%31%
Loses20%50%38%29%67%46%

Form: Rayo Vallecano: WLDLDLLWWWLDD • Valencia: DLWLWDLLDLLDW

League goals

Metric Rayo Vallecano Valencia
HATHAT
GF total39129312
GF avg0.61.10.91.30.50.9
GA total3111461521
GA avg0.61.41.10.92.51.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineRayo VallecanoValencia
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.554%62%62%69%
1.523%23%23%46%
2.515%15%8%15%
3.50%8%0%15%
4.50%0%0%8%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricRayo VallecanoValencia
HATHAT
Clean sheets235314
Failed to score246145

Penalties

MetricRayo VallecanoValencia
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricRayo VallecanoValencia
Wins31
Draws11
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-00-33-0—
Biggest losses0-14-00-26-0
Goals For1332
Goals Against1426

Model comparison

MetricRayo VallecanoValencia
Form62%38%
Att67%33%
Def64%36%
Poisson Distribution79%21%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total62.0%38.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Rayo Vallecano or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.17 @ 1xBet
Draw3.29 @ 1xBet
Away4.06 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.33 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.83 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.00 @ Pinnacle
No1.89 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Rayo Vallecano = 1.03 (league 1.45), Valencia = 0.27 (league 1.13)

Valencia
0 1 2 3 4 5
Rayo Vallecano 0 27.3% 7.3% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 28.2% 7.5% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 14.5% 3.9% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 5.0% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 55.1% · Draw 35.3% · Away win 9.5%

Vtot 44 , Vtod1