La Liga — Spain
Sun, Nov 30 2025 • 13:00 • Reale Arena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.23 (league 1.46) 1.47 (league 1.15)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
31.7% 25.6% 42.2%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.1%
0 - 1
9.8%
1 - 2
8.9%
Score & goals probability table
Villarreal
0 1 2 3 4 5
Real Sociedad 0 6.7% 9.8% 7.2% 3.5% 1.3% 0.4%
1 8.3% 12.1% 8.9% 4.4% 1.6% 0.5%
2 5.1% 7.5% 5.5% 2.7% 1.0% 0.3%
3 2.1% 3.1% 2.3% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1%
4 0.6% 1.0% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricReal SociedadVillarreal
Played55
Form73%87%
Attack91%100%
Defense45%73%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 212 | 2.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.23 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

77%
FT probability

2.5+

54%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

75%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Real Sociedad Villarreal
HATHAT
Played67137613
Wins50%14%31%86%50%69%
Draws17%43%31%14%17%15%
Loses33%43%38%0%33%15%

Form: Real Sociedad: DDLLLWLLDWWDW • Villarreal: WWDLWWWLDWWWW

League goals

Metric Real Sociedad Villarreal
HATHAT
GF total981718826
GF avg1.51.11.32.61.32.0
GA total810184711
GA avg1.31.41.40.61.20.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineReal SociedadVillarreal
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.585%92%92%54%
1.531%38%69%23%
2.515%8%15%8%
3.50%0%15%0%
4.50%0%8%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricReal SociedadVillarreal
HATHAT
Clean sheets101426
Failed to score112011

Penalties

MetricReal SociedadVillarreal
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total31

Streaks

MetricReal SociedadVillarreal
Wins23
Draws21
Losses31

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-21-35-00-2
Biggest losses1-23-1—3-1
Goals For3352
Goals Against2323

Model comparison

MetricReal SociedadVillarreal
Form46%54%
Att45%55%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution42%58%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total44.3%55.7%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Villarreal

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.94 @ 1xBet
Draw3.45 @ 1xBet
Away2.59 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.94 @ 1xBet
Under 2.52.00 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.67 @ 10Bet
No2.27 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Real Sociedad = 1.23 (league 1.46), Villarreal = 1.47 (league 1.15)

Villarreal
0 1 2 3 4 5
Real Sociedad 0 6.7% 9.8% 7.2% 3.5% 1.3% 0.4%
1 8.3% 12.1% 8.9% 4.4% 1.6% 0.5%
2 5.1% 7.5% 5.5% 2.7% 1.0% 0.3%
3 2.1% 3.1% 2.3% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1%
4 0.6% 1.0% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 31.7% · Draw 25.6% · Away win 42.2%

Vtot 34 , Vtod12