La Liga — Spain
Sun, Dec 7 2025 • 17:30 • RCDE Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.45 (league 1.45) 1.27 (league 1.13)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
40.9% 25.6% 32.9%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.1%
1 - 0
9.6%
2 - 1
8.8%
Score & goals probability table
Rayo Vallecano
0 1 2 3 4 5
Espanyol 0 6.6% 8.4% 5.3% 2.3% 0.7% 0.2%
1 9.6% 12.1% 7.7% 3.3% 1.0% 0.3%
2 6.9% 8.8% 5.6% 2.4% 0.7% 0.2%
3 3.3% 4.2% 2.7% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1%
4 1.2% 1.5% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricEspanyolRayo Vallecano
Played55
Form60%40%
Attack42%17%
Defense58%58%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 12 | 0.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 15 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

69%
FT probability

2.5+

49%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

64%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Espanyol Rayo Vallecano
HATHAT
Played86146814
Wins63%33%50%17%38%29%
Draws13%33%21%67%13%36%
Loses25%33%29%17%50%36%

Form: Espanyol: WDWWLDDLWWLLWW • Rayo Vallecano: WLDLDLLWWWLDDD

League goals

Metric Espanyol Rayo Vallecano
HATHAT
GF total126184913
GF avg1.51.01.30.71.10.9
GA total1061641115
GA avg1.31.01.10.71.41.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineEspanyolRayo Vallecano
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.579%64%57%64%
1.543%50%21%21%
2.57%0%14%14%
3.50%0%0%7%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricEspanyolRayo Vallecano
HATHAT
Clean sheets235235
Failed to score123246

Penalties

MetricEspanyolRayo Vallecano
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricEspanyolRayo Vallecano
Wins23
Draws21
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-20-21-00-3
Biggest losses0-22-00-14-0
Goals For3213
Goals Against2214

Model comparison

MetricEspanyolRayo Vallecano
Form60%40%
Att71%29%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution53%47%
H2h60%40%
Goals62%38%
Total59.3%40.7%

Advice: Double chance : Espanyol or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.50 @ Bet365
Draw3.30 @ 1xBet
Away3.21 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.32 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.71 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.95 @ Bet365
No1.92 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Espanyol = 1.45 (league 1.45), Rayo Vallecano = 1.27 (league 1.13)

Rayo Vallecano
0 1 2 3 4 5
Espanyol 0 6.6% 8.4% 5.3% 2.3% 0.7% 0.2%
1 9.6% 12.1% 7.7% 3.3% 1.0% 0.3%
2 6.9% 8.8% 5.6% 2.4% 0.7% 0.2%
3 3.3% 4.2% 2.7% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1%
4 1.2% 1.5% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 40.9% · Draw 25.6% · Away win 32.9%

Vtot 44 , Vtod1