La Liga — Spain
Sun, Dec 21 2025 • 13:00 • Estadio Municipal de Montilivi
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.75 (league 1.47) 1.56 (league 1.15)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
17.8% 25.4% 56.2%
best score tips
0 - 1
15.5%
0 - 2
12.1%
1 - 1
11.6%
Score & goals probability table
Atletico Madrid
0 1 2 3 4 5
Girona 0 9.9% 15.5% 12.1% 6.3% 2.5% 0.8%
1 7.4% 11.6% 9.1% 4.7% 1.8% 0.6%
2 2.8% 4.3% 3.4% 1.8% 0.7% 0.2%
3 0.7% 1.1% 0.8% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricGironaAtletico Madrid
Played55
Form53%60%
Attack56%67%
Defense33%44%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 16 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.25 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

74%
FT probability

2.5+

52%
FT probability

3.5+

37%
FT probability

BTTS

72%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Girona Atletico Madrid
HATHAT
Played88169817
Wins25%13%19%89%25%59%
Draws38%38%38%11%38%24%
Loses38%50%44%0%38%18%

Form: Girona: LLLDLDDWLDLWDDLW • Atletico Madrid: LDDWDWWDWWWWWWLLW

League goals

Metric Girona Atletico Madrid
HATHAT
GF total871522830
GF avg1.00.90.92.41.01.8
GA total1416307916
GA avg1.82.01.90.81.10.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineGironaAtletico Madrid
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.569%88%94%65%
1.519%50%47%24%
2.56%31%24%6%
3.50%13%6%0%
4.50%6%6%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricGironaAtletico Madrid
HATHAT
Clean sheets202426
Failed to score325011

Penalties

MetricGironaAtletico Madrid
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total32

Streaks

MetricGironaAtletico Madrid
Wins16
Draws22
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-11-25-20-2
Biggest losses0-45-0—3-1
Goals For3252
Goals Against4523

Model comparison

MetricGironaAtletico Madrid
Form47%53%
Att45%55%
Def45%55%
Poisson Distribution32%68%
H2h20%80%
Goals26%74%
Total35.8%64.2%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Atletico Madrid

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home4.93 @ 1xBet
Draw4.12 @ 1xBet
Away1.78 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.83 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.16 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.80 @ Pinnacle
No2.12 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Girona = 0.75 (league 1.47), Atletico Madrid = 1.56 (league 1.15)

Atletico Madrid
0 1 2 3 4 5
Girona 0 9.9% 15.5% 12.1% 6.3% 2.5% 0.8%
1 7.4% 11.6% 9.1% 4.7% 1.8% 0.6%
2 2.8% 4.3% 3.4% 1.8% 0.7% 0.2%
3 0.7% 1.1% 0.8% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 17.8% · Draw 25.4% · Away win 56.2%

vtt 31 , vtd1