La Liga — Spain
Sat, Dec 20 2025 • 17:30 • Estadio El Sadar
Match Finished
3 - 0
Expected Goals
1.21 (league 1.45) 0.39 (league 1.13)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
57.1% 30.9% 11.9%
best score tips
1 - 0
24.4%
0 - 0
20.1%
2 - 0
14.8%
Score & goals probability table
Alaves
0 1 2 3 4 5
Osasuna 0 20.1% 7.9% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 24.4% 9.5% 1.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 14.8% 5.8% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 6.0% 2.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.8% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricOsasunaAlaves
Played55
Form27%20%
Attack45%27%
Defense27%36%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 13 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.67 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

60%
FT probability

2.5+

42%
FT probability

3.5+

30%
FT probability

BTTS

64%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Osasuna Alaves
HATHAT
Played79169716
Wins57%0%25%44%14%31%
Draws14%22%19%22%14%19%
Loses29%78%56%33%71%50%

Form: Osasuna: LWLWLDLWLLDLLDWL • Alaves: WLDWLDLWDLWLLLWL

League goals

Metric Osasuna Alaves
HATHAT
GF total1131411314
GF avg1.60.30.91.20.40.9
GA total812209817
GA avg1.11.31.31.01.11.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineOsasunaAlaves
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.556%75%63%81%
1.531%38%19%19%
2.50%13%6%6%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricOsasunaAlaves
HATHAT
Clean sheets314213
Failed to score077246

Penalties

MetricOsasunaAlaves
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total24

Streaks

MetricOsasunaAlaves
Wins11
Draws11
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-0—3-10-1
Biggest losses1-32-01-23-1
Goals For2231
Goals Against3223

Model comparison

MetricOsasunaAlaves
Form57%43%
Att63%38%
Def47%53%
Poisson Distribution73%27%
H2h62%38%
Goals58%42%
Total60.0%40.2%

Advice: Double chance : Osasuna or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.37 @ 1xBet
Draw3.07 @ 1xBet
Away3.75 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.53.00 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.49 @ SBO

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.41 @ Pinnacle
No1.67 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Osasuna = 1.21 (league 1.45), Alaves = 0.39 (league 1.13)

Alaves
0 1 2 3 4 5
Osasuna 0 20.1% 7.9% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 24.4% 9.5% 1.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 14.8% 5.8% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 6.0% 2.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.8% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 57.1% · Draw 30.9% · Away win 11.9%

Vtot 26 , Vtod13