La Liga — Spain
Sat, Jan 3 2026 • 13:00 • Estadio Abanca-Balaídos
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.56 (league 1.47) 0.68 (league 1.15)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
58.1% 25.3% 16.1%
best score tips
1 - 0
16.6%
2 - 0
13.0%
1 - 1
11.3%
Score & goals probability table
Valencia
0 1 2 3 4 5
Celta Vigo 0 10.7% 7.2% 2.5% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 16.6% 11.3% 3.8% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
2 13.0% 8.8% 3.0% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
3 6.7% 4.6% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 2.6% 1.8% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.8% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCelta VigoValencia
Played55
Form67%40%
Attack33%33%
Defense93%67%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 15 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)1 | 0.25 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

71%
FT probability

2.5+

50%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Celta Vigo Valencia
HATHAT
Played98179817
Wins11%50%29%33%0%18%
Draws56%38%47%44%38%41%
Loses33%13%24%22%63%41%

Form: Celta Vigo: LDDDDDLDDWWLWLWWD • Valencia: DLWLWDLLDLLDWDDLD

League goals

Metric Celta Vigo Valencia
HATHAT
GF total9112011516
GF avg1.01.41.21.20.60.9
GA total1271981826
GA avg1.30.91.10.92.31.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCelta VigoValencia
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.582%76%71%76%
1.529%24%18%41%
2.56%6%6%12%
3.50%6%0%12%
4.50%0%0%6%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCelta VigoValencia
HATHAT
Clean sheets134314
Failed to score213145

Penalties

MetricCelta VigoValencia
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total20

Streaks

MetricCelta VigoValencia
Wins21
Draws52
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-23-0—
Biggest losses2-42-10-26-0
Goals For2332
Goals Against4226

Model comparison

MetricCelta VigoValencia
Form63%38%
Att50%50%
Def83%17%
Poisson Distribution66%34%
H2h62%38%
Goals60%40%
Total64.0%36.2%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Celta Vigo or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.07 @ 1xBet
Draw3.38 @ 1xBet
Away4.22 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.32 @ 1xBet
Under 2.51.84 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.01 @ Pinnacle
No1.86 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Celta Vigo = 1.56 (league 1.47), Valencia = 0.68 (league 1.15)

Valencia
0 1 2 3 4 5
Celta Vigo 0 10.7% 7.2% 2.5% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 16.6% 11.3% 3.8% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
2 13.0% 8.8% 3.0% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
3 6.7% 4.6% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 2.6% 1.8% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.8% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 58.1% · Draw 25.3% · Away win 16.1%

vtt 11 , vtd1