La Liga — Spain
Fri, Jan 2 2026 • 20:00 • Campo de Futbol de Vallecas
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.74 (league 1.45) 0.36 (league 1.16)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
40.9% 42.7% 16.4%
best score tips
0 - 0
33.1%
1 - 0
24.6%
0 - 1
12.0%
Score & goals probability table
Getafe
0 1 2 3 4 5
Rayo Vallecano 0 33.1% 12.0% 2.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
1 24.6% 8.9% 1.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 9.1% 3.3% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 2.3% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricRayo VallecanoGetafe
Played55
Form20%20%
Attack6%6%
Defense63%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)1 | 0.21 | 0.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.28 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

56%
FT probability

2.5+

39%
FT probability

3.5+

28%
FT probability

BTTS

56%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Rayo Vallecano Getafe
HATHAT
Played710178917
Wins14%30%24%38%33%35%
Draws71%10%35%25%0%12%
Loses14%60%41%38%67%53%

Form: Rayo Vallecano: WLDLDLLWWWLDDDLDL • Getafe: WWLWLDDLLWWLLWLLL

League goals

Metric Rayo Vallecano Getafe
HATHAT
GF total49137613
GF avg0.60.90.80.90.70.8
GA total4162061622
GA avg0.61.61.20.81.81.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineRayo VallecanoGetafe
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.547%65%53%76%
1.518%24%24%29%
2.512%18%0%18%
3.50%12%0%6%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricRayo VallecanoGetafe
HATHAT
Clean sheets336224
Failed to score369358

Penalties

MetricRayo VallecanoGetafe
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricRayo VallecanoGetafe
Wins32
Draws32
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-00-32-00-2
Biggest losses0-14-00-14-0
Goals For1322
Goals Against1414

Model comparison

MetricRayo VallecanoGetafe
Form50%50%
Att50%50%
Def57%43%
Poisson Distribution66%34%
H2h75%25%
Goals80%20%
Total63.0%37.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Rayo Vallecano or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.15 @ 1xBet
Draw2.97 @ 1xBet
Away4.85 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.53.50 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.34 @ Betano

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.78 @ Pinnacle
No1.48 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Rayo Vallecano = 0.74 (league 1.45), Getafe = 0.36 (league 1.16)

Getafe
0 1 2 3 4 5
Rayo Vallecano 0 33.1% 12.0% 2.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
1 24.6% 8.9% 1.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 9.1% 3.3% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 2.3% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 40.9% · Draw 42.7% · Away win 16.4%

vtt 27 , vtd1