La Liga — Spain
Sun, Jan 4 2026 • 15:15 • Estadio Santiago Bernabéu
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.38 (league 1.45) 0.73 (league 1.15)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
51.9% 27.8% 19.9%
best score tips
1 - 0
16.7%
1 - 1
12.2%
0 - 0
12.1%
Score & goals probability table
Real Betis
0 1 2 3 4 5
Real Madrid 0 12.1% 8.9% 3.3% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
1 16.7% 12.2% 4.5% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
2 11.5% 8.4% 3.1% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
3 5.3% 3.9% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.8% 1.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricReal MadridReal Betis
Played55
Form67%53%
Attack50%63%
Defense75%63%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.610 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.86 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

76%
FT probability

2.5+

54%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

70%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Real Madrid Real Betis
HATHAT
Played810189817
Wins88%60%72%56%25%41%
Draws0%30%17%11%75%41%
Loses13%10%11%33%0%18%

Form: Real Madrid: WWWWWWLWWWWDDDWLWW • Real Betis: DWDLDWWWDLWDDWLDW

League goals

Metric Real Madrid Real Betis
HATHAT
GF total162036181129
GF avg2.02.02.02.01.41.7
GA total5111611819
GA avg0.61.10.91.21.01.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineReal MadridReal Betis
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.589%56%88%65%
1.572%17%53%29%
2.528%6%24%6%
3.511%6%6%6%
4.50%6%0%6%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricReal MadridReal Betis
HATHAT
Clean sheets448426
Failed to score112112

Penalties

MetricReal MadridReal Betis
Scored (total | %)6 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total61

Streaks

MetricReal MadridReal Betis
Wins63
Draws32
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-01-44-00-2
Biggest losses0-25-23-5—
Goals For4442
Goals Against2552

Model comparison

MetricReal MadridReal Betis
Form56%44%
Att44%56%
Def60%40%
Poisson Distribution64%36%
H2h50%50%
Goals57%43%
Total55.2%44.8%

Advice: Double chance : Real Madrid or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.53 @ 1xBet
Draw4.80 @ 188Bet
Away7.00 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.60 @ 1xBet
Under 2.52.70 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.71 @ 188Bet
No2.26 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Real Madrid = 1.38 (league 1.45), Real Betis = 0.73 (league 1.15)

Real Betis
0 1 2 3 4 5
Real Madrid 0 12.1% 8.9% 3.3% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
1 16.7% 12.2% 4.5% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
2 11.5% 8.4% 3.1% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
3 5.3% 3.9% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.8% 1.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 51.9% · Draw 27.8% · Away win 19.9%

vtt 4 , vtd1