La Liga — Spain
Sun, Jan 4 2026 • 20:00 • Reale Arena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.02 (league 1.48) 1.67 (league 1.15)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
22.9% 24.3% 52.0%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.6%
0 - 1
11.4%
1 - 2
9.7%
Score & goals probability table
Atletico Madrid
0 1 2 3 4 5
Real Sociedad 0 6.8% 11.4% 9.5% 5.3% 2.2% 0.7%
1 6.9% 11.6% 9.7% 5.4% 2.2% 0.8%
2 3.5% 5.9% 4.9% 2.7% 1.1% 0.4%
3 1.2% 2.0% 1.7% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1%
4 0.3% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricReal SociedadAtletico Madrid
Played55
Form27%60%
Attack44%50%
Defense50%69%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.48 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.65 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

76%
FT probability

2.5+

54%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

77%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Real Sociedad Atletico Madrid
HATHAT
Played89179918
Wins38%11%24%89%33%61%
Draws13%44%29%11%33%22%
Loses50%44%47%0%33%17%

Form: Real Sociedad: DDLLLWLLDWWDWLLLD • Atletico Madrid: LDDWDWWDWWWWWWLLWW

League goals

Metric Real Sociedad Atletico Madrid
HATHAT
GF total12921221133
GF avg1.51.01.22.41.21.8
GA total1312257916
GA avg1.61.31.50.81.00.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineReal SociedadAtletico Madrid
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.582%94%94%61%
1.529%41%50%22%
2.512%12%28%6%
3.50%0%6%0%
4.50%0%6%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricReal SociedadAtletico Madrid
HATHAT
Clean sheets101437
Failed to score123011

Penalties

MetricReal SociedadAtletico Madrid
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total32

Streaks

MetricReal SociedadAtletico Madrid
Wins26
Draws22
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-21-35-20-3
Biggest losses2-33-1—3-1
Goals For3353
Goals Against3323

Model comparison

MetricReal SociedadAtletico Madrid
Form31%69%
Att47%53%
Def38%62%
Poisson Distribution36%64%
H2h15%85%
Goals18%82%
Total30.8%69.2%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Atletico Madrid

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home4.22 @ 1xBet
Draw3.80 @ Bet365
Away1.94 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.88 @ 1xBet
Under 2.52.09 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.79 @ Pinnacle
No2.16 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Real Sociedad = 1.02 (league 1.48), Atletico Madrid = 1.67 (league 1.15)

Atletico Madrid
0 1 2 3 4 5
Real Sociedad 0 6.8% 11.4% 9.5% 5.3% 2.2% 0.7%
1 6.9% 11.6% 9.7% 5.4% 2.2% 0.8%
2 3.5% 5.9% 4.9% 2.7% 1.1% 0.4%
3 1.2% 2.0% 1.7% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1%
4 0.3% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 22.9% · Draw 24.3% · Away win 52.0%

vtt 6 , vtd1