La Liga — Spain
Wed, Dec 3 2025 • 18:00 • Estadio de San Mamés
Not Started
Expected Goals
0.98 (league 1.46) 1.56 (league 1.15)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
23.7% 25.4% 50.3%
best score tips
0 - 1
12.3%
1 - 1
12.0%
0 - 2
9.6%
Score & goals probability table
Real Madrid
0 1 2 3 4 5
Athletic Club 0 7.9% 12.3% 9.6% 5.0% 2.0% 0.6%
1 7.7% 12.0% 9.4% 4.9% 1.9% 0.6%
2 3.8% 5.9% 4.6% 2.4% 0.9% 0.3%
3 1.2% 1.9% 1.5% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.3% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAthletic ClubReal Madrid
Played55
Form27%73%
Attack27%82%
Defense27%73%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.69 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.63 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

76%
FT probability

2.5+

53%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Athletic Club Real Madrid
HATHAT
Played76136713
Wins57%17%38%100%57%77%
Draws14%17%15%0%29%15%
Loses29%67%46%0%14%8%

Form: Athletic Club: WWWLLDLWDLLWL • Real Madrid: WWWWWWLWWWWDD

League goals

Metric Athletic Club Real Madrid
HATHAT
GF total8412141428
GF avg1.10.70.92.32.02.2
GA total611173912
GA avg0.91.81.30.51.30.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAthletic ClubReal Madrid
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.554%77%92%54%
1.531%31%77%15%
2.58%15%31%8%
3.50%8%15%8%
4.50%0%0%8%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAthletic ClubReal Madrid
HATHAT
Clean sheets213336
Failed to score246011

Penalties

MetricAthletic ClubReal Madrid
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total34

Streaks

MetricAthletic ClubReal Madrid
Wins36
Draws10
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-21-24-01-4
Biggest losses0-14-0—5-2
Goals For3244
Goals Against2415

Model comparison

MetricAthletic ClubReal Madrid
Form27%73%
Att25%75%
Def27%73%
Poisson Distribution39%61%
H2h29%71%
Goals30%70%
Total29.5%70.5%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Real Madrid

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home4.40 @ Unibet
Draw4.07 @ Pinnacle
Away1.90 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.84 @ 1xBet
Under 2.52.11 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.73 @ Marathonbet
No2.16 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Athletic Club = 0.98 (league 1.46), Real Madrid = 1.56 (league 1.15)

Real Madrid
0 1 2 3 4 5
Athletic Club 0 7.9% 12.3% 9.6% 5.0% 2.0% 0.6%
1 7.7% 12.0% 9.4% 4.9% 1.9% 0.6%
2 3.8% 5.9% 4.6% 2.4% 0.9% 0.3%
3 1.2% 1.9% 1.5% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.3% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 23.7% · Draw 25.4% · Away win 50.3%

Vtot 3 , Vtod3