La Liga — Spain
Tue, Dec 2 2025 • 20:00 • Spotify Camp Nou
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.82 (league 1.45) 0.64 (league 1.13)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
64.6% 21.8% 12.4%
best score tips
1 - 0
15.6%
2 - 0
14.2%
1 - 1
10.0%
Score & goals probability table
Atletico Madrid
0 1 2 3 4 5
Barcelona 0 8.6% 5.5% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 15.6% 10.0% 3.2% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
2 14.2% 9.0% 2.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 8.6% 5.5% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 3.9% 2.5% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.4% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBarcelonaAtletico Madrid
Played55
Form80%100%
Attack100%92%
Defense50%92%
Goals For (tot | avg)15 | 311 | 2.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.21 | 0.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

89%
FT probability

2.5+

63%
FT probability

3.5+

45%
FT probability

BTTS

78%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Barcelona Atletico Madrid
HATHAT
Played77148614
Wins100%57%79%88%33%64%
Draws0%14%7%13%50%29%
Loses0%29%14%0%17%7%

Form: Barcelona: WWDWWWWLWLWWWW • Atletico Madrid: LDDWDWWDWWWWWW

League goals

Metric Barcelona Atletico Madrid
HATHAT
GF total23163920727
GF avg3.32.32.82.51.21.9
GA total412166511
GA avg0.61.71.10.80.80.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBarcelonaAtletico Madrid
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%71%100%57%
1.579%29%50%21%
2.564%7%29%0%
3.521%7%7%0%
4.57%0%7%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBarcelonaAtletico Madrid
HATHAT
Clean sheets314426
Failed to score000000

Penalties

MetricBarcelonaAtletico Madrid
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total22

Streaks

MetricBarcelonaAtletico Madrid
Wins42
Draws12
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins6-00-35-20-2
Biggest losses—4-1—2-1
Goals For6452
Goals Against1422

Model comparison

MetricBarcelonaAtletico Madrid
Form44%56%
Att58%42%
Def14%86%
Poisson Distribution76%24%
H2h71%29%
Goals62%38%
Total54.2%45.8%

Advice: Double chance : Barcelona or draw

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.83 @ 1xBet
Draw4.40 @ Betfair
Away4.23 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.42 @ Betano
Under 2.53.00 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.44 @ Pinnacle
No2.93 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Barcelona = 1.82 (league 1.45), Atletico Madrid = 0.64 (league 1.13)

Atletico Madrid
0 1 2 3 4 5
Barcelona 0 8.6% 5.5% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 15.6% 10.0% 3.2% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
2 14.2% 9.0% 2.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 8.6% 5.5% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 3.9% 2.5% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.4% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 64.6% · Draw 21.8% · Away win 12.4%

Vtot 39 , Vtod1