La Liga — Spain
Tue, Dec 2 2025 • 20:00 • Camp Nou
Not Started
Expected Goals
1.81 (league 1.46) 0.52 (league 1.15)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
67.7% 21.3% 10.0%
best score tips
1 - 0
17.6%
2 - 0
15.9%
0 - 0
9.7%
Score & goals probability table
Atletico Madrid
0 1 2 3 4 5
Barcelona 0 9.7% 5.1% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 17.6% 9.2% 2.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
2 15.9% 8.3% 2.2% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
3 9.6% 5.0% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 4.4% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.6% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBarcelonaAtletico Madrid
Played55
Form80%100%
Attack100%91%
Defense45%91%
Goals For (tot | avg)14 | 2.810 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.21 | 0.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

89%
FT probability

2.5+

63%
FT probability

3.5+

45%
FT probability

BTTS

77%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Barcelona Atletico Madrid
HATHAT
Played67137613
Wins100%57%77%86%33%62%
Draws0%14%8%14%50%31%
Loses0%29%15%0%17%8%

Form: Barcelona: WWDWWWWLWLWWW • Atletico Madrid: LDDWDWWDWWWWW

League goals

Metric Barcelona Atletico Madrid
HATHAT
GF total20163618725
GF avg3.32.32.82.61.21.9
GA total312156511
GA avg0.51.71.20.90.80.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBarcelonaAtletico Madrid
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%69%100%62%
1.577%31%46%23%
2.562%8%31%0%
3.523%8%8%0%
4.58%0%8%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBarcelonaAtletico Madrid
HATHAT
Clean sheets314325
Failed to score000000

Penalties

MetricBarcelonaAtletico Madrid
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total22

Streaks

MetricBarcelonaAtletico Madrid
Wins42
Draws12
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins6-00-35-20-2
Biggest losses—4-1—2-1
Goals For6452
Goals Against1422

Model comparison

MetricBarcelonaAtletico Madrid
Form44%56%
Att58%42%
Def14%86%
Poisson Distribution78%22%
H2h71%29%
Goals62%38%
Total54.5%45.5%

Advice: Double chance : Barcelona or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.84 @ 1xBet
Draw4.40 @ 188Bet
Away4.25 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.44 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.88 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.44 @ Bet365
No2.86 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Barcelona = 1.81 (league 1.46), Atletico Madrid = 0.52 (league 1.15)

Atletico Madrid
0 1 2 3 4 5
Barcelona 0 9.7% 5.1% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 17.6% 9.2% 2.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
2 15.9% 8.3% 2.2% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
3 9.6% 5.0% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 4.4% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.6% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 67.7% · Draw 21.3% · Away win 10.0%

Vtot 3 , Vtod3