La Liga — Spain
Sat, Jan 17 2026 • 13:00 • Estadio Santiago Bernabéu
Not Started
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Expected Goals
1.90 (league 1.45) 0.79 (league 1.15)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
62.1% 21.5% 15.0%
best score tips
1 - 0
12.9%
2 - 0
12.2%
1 - 1
10.2%
Score & goals probability table
Levante
0 1 2 3 4 5
Real Madrid 0 6.8% 5.4% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 12.9% 10.2% 4.1% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
2 12.2% 9.7% 3.8% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
3 7.7% 6.1% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
4 3.7% 2.9% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.4% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricReal MadridLevante
Played55
Form80%33%
Attack100%56%
Defense56%33%
Goals For (tot | avg)12 | 2.45 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.86 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

82%
FT probability

2.5+

58%
FT probability

3.5+

41%
FT probability

BTTS

70%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Real Madrid Levante
HATHAT
Played9101981018
Wins89%60%74%0%30%17%
Draws0%30%16%38%20%28%
Loses11%10%11%63%50%56%

Form: Real Madrid: WWWWWWLWWWWDDDWLWWW • Levante: LLLDWLDWLDLLLLLDWD

League goals

Metric Real Madrid Levante
HATHAT
GF total21204181321
GF avg2.32.02.21.01.31.2
GA total61117181230
GA avg0.71.10.92.31.21.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineReal MadridLevante
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.589%58%72%83%
1.574%16%28%56%
2.532%5%11%22%
3.516%5%6%6%
4.55%5%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricReal MadridLevante
HATHAT
Clean sheets448033
Failed to score112235

Penalties

MetricReal MadridLevante
Scored (total | %)6 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total62

Streaks

MetricReal MadridLevante
Wins61
Draws31
Losses15

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-11-4—0-4
Biggest losses0-25-21-43-1
Goals For5424
Goals Against2543

Model comparison

MetricReal MadridLevante
Form71%29%
Att71%29%
Def60%40%
Poisson Distribution71%29%
H2h71%29%
Goals73%27%
Total69.5%30.5%

Advice: Winner : Real Madrid

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.18 @ 1xBet
Draw10.04 @ Pinnacle
Away19.00 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.29 @ Betano
Under 2.53.75 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.95 @ Bet365
No1.95 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Real Madrid = 1.90 (league 1.45), Levante = 0.79 (league 1.15)

Levante
0 1 2 3 4 5
Real Madrid 0 6.8% 5.4% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 12.9% 10.2% 4.1% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
2 12.2% 9.7% 3.8% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
3 7.7% 6.1% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
4 3.7% 2.9% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.4% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 62.1% · Draw 21.5% · Away win 15.0%

vtt 1 , vtd1