La Liga — Spain
Sun, Jan 18 2026 • 20:00 • Reale Arena
Not Started
Expected Goals
1.44 (league 1.45) 3.49 (league 1.15)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
11.4% 12.4% 61.7%
best score tips
1 - 3
7.4%
1 - 4
6.4%
1 - 2
6.3%
Score & goals probability table
Barcelona
0 1 2 3 4 5
Real Sociedad 0 0.7% 2.5% 4.4% 5.1% 4.4% 3.1%
1 1.0% 3.6% 6.3% 7.4% 6.4% 4.5%
2 0.8% 2.6% 4.6% 5.3% 4.6% 3.2%
3 0.4% 1.3% 2.2% 2.6% 2.2% 1.6%
4 0.1% 0.5% 0.8% 0.9% 0.8% 0.6%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.2%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricReal SociedadBarcelona
Played55
Form33%100%
Attack56%100%
Defense33%56%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 114 | 2.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.24 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

68%
FT probability

3.5+

49%
FT probability

BTTS

83%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Real Sociedad Barcelona
HATHAT
Played9101991019
Wins33%20%26%100%70%84%
Draws22%40%32%0%10%5%
Loses44%40%42%0%20%11%

Form: Real Sociedad: DDLLLWLLDWWDWLLLDDW • Barcelona: WWDWWWWLWLWWWWWWWWW

League goals

Metric Real Sociedad Barcelona
HATHAT
GF total131124282553
GF avg1.41.11.33.12.52.8
GA total14132751520
GA avg1.61.31.40.61.51.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineReal SociedadBarcelona
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.584%95%100%63%
1.532%37%84%26%
2.511%11%58%11%
3.50%0%21%5%
4.50%0%11%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricReal SociedadBarcelona
HATHAT
Clean sheets101437
Failed to score123000

Penalties

MetricReal SociedadBarcelona
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total34

Streaks

MetricReal SociedadBarcelona
Wins24
Draws21
Losses31

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-21-36-00-3
Biggest losses2-33-1—4-1
Goals For3365
Goals Against3314

Model comparison

MetricReal SociedadBarcelona
Form25%75%
Att26%74%
Def40%60%
Poisson Distribution30%70%
H2h20%80%
Goals18%82%
Total26.5%73.5%

Advice: Winner : Barcelona

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home5.21 @ Pinnacle
Draw4.75 @ 188Bet
Away1.64 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.42 @ Betano
Under 2.53.00 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.50 @ Bet365
No2.72 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Real Sociedad = 1.44 (league 1.45), Barcelona = 3.49 (league 1.15)

Barcelona
0 1 2 3 4 5
Real Sociedad 0 0.7% 2.5% 4.4% 5.1% 4.4% 3.1%
1 1.0% 3.6% 6.3% 7.4% 6.4% 4.5%
2 0.8% 2.6% 4.6% 5.3% 4.6% 3.2%
3 0.4% 1.3% 2.2% 2.6% 2.2% 1.6%
4 0.1% 0.5% 0.8% 0.9% 0.8% 0.6%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.2%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 11.4% · Draw 12.4% · Away win 61.7%

vtt 1 , vtd1