La Liga — Spain
Sun, Jan 25 2026 • 13:00 • Riyadh Air Metropolitano
Not Started
Expected Goals
2.69 (league 1.46) 0.61 (league 1.15)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
75.7% 12.7% 6.0%
best score tips
2 - 0
13.4%
3 - 0
12.0%
1 - 0
10.0%
Score & goals probability table
Mallorca
0 1 2 3 4 5
Atletico Madrid 0 3.7% 2.3% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 10.0% 6.1% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
2 13.4% 8.1% 2.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 12.0% 7.3% 2.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 8.1% 4.9% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
5 4.3% 2.6% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAtletico MadridMallorca
Played55
Form67%47%
Attack44%56%
Defense81%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.49 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.68 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

79%
FT probability

2.5+

56%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

74%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Atletico Madrid Mallorca
HATHAT
Played101020101020
Wins90%30%60%40%10%25%
Draws10%40%25%40%20%30%
Loses0%30%15%20%70%45%

Form: Atletico Madrid: LDDWDWWDWWWWWWLLWWDW • Mallorca: LDLLDLWLWDLWLDDWDLLW

League goals

Metric Atletico Madrid Mallorca
HATHAT
GF total231235141024
GF avg2.31.21.81.41.01.2
GA total71017131730
GA avg0.71.00.91.31.71.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAtletico MadridMallorca
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.595%60%80%85%
1.545%20%25%50%
2.525%5%15%15%
3.55%0%0%0%
4.55%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAtletico MadridMallorca
HATHAT
Clean sheets538213
Failed to score011134

Penalties

MetricAtletico MadridMallorca
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total24

Streaks

MetricAtletico MadridMallorca
Wins61
Draws22
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-20-33-11-3
Biggest losses—3-10-33-0
Goals For5333
Goals Against2333

Model comparison

MetricAtletico MadridMallorca
Form59%41%
Att44%56%
Def73%27%
Poisson Distribution81%19%
H2h93%7%
Goals86%14%
Total72.7%27.3%

Advice: Double chance : Atletico Madrid or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.34 @ 1xBet
Draw5.74 @ Pinnacle
Away11.00 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.73 @ SBO
Under 2.52.28 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.25 @ Pinnacle
No1.73 @ 10Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Atletico Madrid = 2.69 (league 1.46), Mallorca = 0.61 (league 1.15)

Mallorca
0 1 2 3 4 5
Atletico Madrid 0 3.7% 2.3% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 10.0% 6.1% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
2 13.4% 8.1% 2.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 12.0% 7.3% 2.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 8.1% 4.9% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
5 4.3% 2.6% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 75.7% · Draw 12.7% · Away win 6.0%

vtt 2 , vtd2