Sat, Jan 24 2026 • 20:00 •
Estadio de la Ceramica
Expected Goals
1.65 (league 1.53)
1.23 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 46.6% | 24.3% | 28.3% |
best score tips
1 - 1
11.4%
2 - 1
9.4%
1 - 0
9.3%
Score & goals probability table
| Real Madrid | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Villarreal | 0 | 5.6% | 6.9% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 9.2% | 11.4% | 7.0% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 7.6% | 9.4% | 5.8% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 4.2% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Villarreal | Real Madrid |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 60% | 80% |
| Attack | 50% | 69% |
| Defense | 63% | 75% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 11 | 2.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.10
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.90
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
86%
FT probability
2.5+
61%
FT probability
3.5+
43%
FT probability
BTTS
70%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-3
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Villarreal | Real Madrid | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 10 | 9 | 19 | 10 | 10 | 20 |
| Wins | 80% | 56% | 68% | 90% | 60% | 75% |
| Draws | 10% | 11% | 11% | 0% | 30% | 15% |
| Loses | 10% | 33% | 21% | 10% | 10% | 10% |
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Real MadridWWWWWWLWWWWDDDWLWWWW
League goals
| Metric | Villarreal | Real Madrid | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 23 | 14 | 37 | 23 | 20 | 43 |
| GF avg | 2.3 | 1.6 | 1.9 | 2.3 | 2.0 | 2.2 |
| GA total | 7 | 12 | 19 | 6 | 11 | 17 |
| GA avg | 0.7 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 0.6 | 1.1 | 0.9 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Villarreal | Real Madrid | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 84% | 63% | 90% | 55% |
| 1.5 | 68% | 32% | 75% | 15% |
| 2.5 | 26% | 5% | 30% | 5% |
| 3.5 | 11% | 0% | 15% | 5% |
| 4.5 | 5% | 0% | 5% | 5% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Villarreal | Real Madrid | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 5 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 9 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Villarreal | Real Madrid |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 7 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 7 |
Streaks
| Metric | Villarreal | Real Madrid |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 6 | 6 |
| Draws | 1 | 3 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-0 | 1-3 | 5-1 | 1-4 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 3-1 | 0-2 | 5-2 |
| Goals For | 5 | 3 | 5 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Villarreal | Real Madrid |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 43% | 57% |
| Att | 42% | 58% |
| Def | 40% | 60% |
| Poisson Distribution | 57% | 43% |
| H2h | 7% | 93% |
| Goals | 32% | 68% |
| Total | 36.8% | 63.2% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home4.00 @ 1xBet
Draw4.20 @ 188Bet
Away2.03 @ Dafabet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.47 @ Betano
Under 2.52.80 @ Betano
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.46 @ Pinnacle
No2.87 @ Pinnacle
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League standings
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