La Liga — Spain
Sun, Feb 1 2026 • 20:00 • Estadio de San Mamés
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.88 (league 1.48) 1.05 (league 1.15)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
29.7% 31.3% 38.9%
best score tips
0 - 1
15.2%
0 - 0
14.5%
1 - 1
13.4%
Score & goals probability table
Real Sociedad
0 1 2 3 4 5
Athletic Club 0 14.5% 15.2% 8.0% 2.8% 0.7% 0.2%
1 12.7% 13.4% 7.1% 2.5% 0.7% 0.1%
2 5.6% 5.9% 3.1% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
3 1.6% 1.7% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAthletic ClubReal Sociedad
Played55
Form7%73%
Attack36%64%
Defense29%64%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 19 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 25 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

69%
FT probability

2.5+

49%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

74%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Athletic Club Real Sociedad
HATHAT
Played101121111021
Wins50%18%33%45%20%33%
Draws10%18%14%18%40%29%
Loses40%64%52%36%40%38%

Form: Athletic Club: WWWLLDLWDLLWLWLWLLDLL • Real Sociedad: DDLLLWLLDWWDWLLLDDWWW

League goals

Metric Athletic Club Real Sociedad
HATHAT
GF total101020181129
GF avg1.00.91.01.61.11.4
GA total111930161329
GA avg1.11.71.41.51.31.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAthletic ClubReal Sociedad
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.562%76%86%95%
1.529%43%38%33%
2.55%19%14%10%
3.50%5%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAthletic ClubReal Sociedad
HATHAT
Clean sheets325101
Failed to score358123

Penalties

MetricAthletic ClubReal Sociedad
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total34

Streaks

MetricAthletic ClubReal Sociedad
Wins32
Draws12
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-20-23-11-3
Biggest losses0-34-02-33-1
Goals For3233
Goals Against3433

Model comparison

MetricAthletic ClubReal Sociedad
Form8%92%
Att36%64%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution44%56%
H2h50%50%
Goals42%58%
Total35.5%64.5%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Real Sociedad

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.28 @ 1xBet
Draw3.18 @ 1xBet
Away3.89 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.44 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.66 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.04 @ Pinnacle
No1.89 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Athletic Club = 0.88 (league 1.48), Real Sociedad = 1.05 (league 1.15)

Real Sociedad
0 1 2 3 4 5
Athletic Club 0 14.5% 15.2% 8.0% 2.8% 0.7% 0.2%
1 12.7% 13.4% 7.1% 2.5% 0.7% 0.1%
2 5.6% 5.9% 3.1% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
3 1.6% 1.7% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 29.7% · Draw 31.3% · Away win 38.9%

vtt 13 , vtd1