La Liga — Spain
Wed, Mar 4 2026 • 18:00 • Campo de Futbol de Vallecas
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.49 (league 1.48) 0.63 (league 1.15)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
57.8% 26.2% 15.6%
best score tips
1 - 0
17.9%
2 - 0
13.4%
0 - 0
12.0%
Score & goals probability table
Oviedo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Rayo Vallecano 0 12.0% 7.6% 2.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 17.9% 11.2% 3.5% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
2 13.4% 8.4% 2.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 6.6% 4.2% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
4 2.5% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricRayo VallecanoOviedo
Played55
Form33%27%
Attack54%38%
Defense46%31%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.45 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.49 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

66%
FT probability

2.5+

47%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

62%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Rayo Vallecano Oviedo
HATHAT
Played121325131225
Wins25%23%24%15%8%12%
Draws58%15%36%38%25%32%
Loses17%62%40%46%67%56%

Form: Rayo Vallecano: WLDLDLLWWWLDDDLDLDWLLLWDD • Oviedo: LLWLLLWLLDDLDLDLDDDLLWLDL

League goals

Metric Rayo Vallecano Oviedo
HATHAT
GF total12112351116
GF avg1.00.80.90.40.90.6
GA total102232142640
GA avg0.81.71.31.12.21.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineRayo VallecanoOviedo
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.560%72%40%76%
1.520%28%16%52%
2.512%20%8%28%
3.50%8%0%4%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricRayo VallecanoOviedo
HATHAT
Clean sheets437606
Failed to score37108715

Penalties

MetricRayo VallecanoOviedo
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricRayo VallecanoOviedo
Wins31
Draws33
Losses33

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-31-01-2
Biggest losses1-34-00-34-0
Goals For3313
Goals Against3434

Model comparison

MetricRayo VallecanoOviedo
Form56%44%
Att58%42%
Def56%44%
Poisson Distribution68%32%
H2h50%50%
Goals60%40%
Total58.0%42.0%

Advice: Double chance : Rayo Vallecano or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.76 @ 1xBet
Draw3.84 @ 1xBet
Away5.40 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.22 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.80 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.13 @ Pinnacle
No1.78 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Rayo Vallecano = 1.49 (league 1.48), Oviedo = 0.63 (league 1.15)

Oviedo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Rayo Vallecano 0 12.0% 7.6% 2.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 17.9% 11.2% 3.5% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
2 13.4% 8.4% 2.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 6.6% 4.2% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
4 2.5% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 57.8% · Draw 26.2% · Away win 15.6%

vtt 45 , vtd1