Sun, Feb 8 2026 • 20:00 •
Estadio de Mestalla
Expected Goals
0.92 (league 1.53)
1.77 (league 1.13)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 19.3% | 23.3% | 56.5% |
best score tips
0 - 1
12.1%
1 - 1
11.1%
0 - 2
10.7%
Score & goals probability table
| Real Madrid | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Valencia | 0 | 6.9% | 12.2% | 10.7% | 6.3% | 2.7% | 1.0% |
| 1 | 6.3% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 5.7% | 2.5% | 0.9% | |
| 2 | 2.9% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% | |
| 3 | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Valencia | Real Madrid |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 100% |
| Attack | 41% | 76% |
| Defense | 47% | 88% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 13 | 2.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 2 | 0.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.10
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.40
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
78%
FT probability
2.5+
55%
FT probability
3.5+
39%
FT probability
BTTS
72%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-3
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Valencia | Real Madrid | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 11 | 11 | 22 | 11 | 11 | 22 |
| Wins | 36% | 9% | 23% | 91% | 64% | 77% |
| Draws | 45% | 27% | 36% | 0% | 27% | 14% |
| Loses | 18% | 64% | 41% | 9% | 9% | 9% |
ValenciaDLWLWDLLDLLDWDDLDLDWWL
Real MadridWWWWWWLWWWWDDDWLWWWWWW
League goals
| Metric | Valencia | Real Madrid | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 15 | 8 | 23 | 25 | 22 | 47 |
| GF avg | 1.4 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 2.3 | 2.0 | 2.1 |
| GA total | 11 | 24 | 35 | 7 | 11 | 18 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 2.2 | 1.6 | 0.6 | 1.0 | 0.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Valencia | Real Madrid | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 77% | 77% | 91% | 55% |
| 1.5 | 18% | 45% | 77% | 14% |
| 2.5 | 9% | 14% | 27% | 5% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 14% | 14% | 5% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 5% | 5% | 5% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Valencia | Real Madrid | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 10 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Valencia | Real Madrid |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 9 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 9 |
Streaks
| Metric | Valencia | Real Madrid |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 6 |
| Draws | 2 | 3 |
| Losses | 2 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 0-1 | 5-1 | 1-4 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 6-0 | 0-2 | 5-2 |
| Goals For | 3 | 2 | 5 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 6 | 2 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Valencia | Real Madrid |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 32% | 68% |
| Att | 35% | 65% |
| Def | 18% | 82% |
| Poisson Distribution | 33% | 67% |
| H2h | 29% | 71% |
| Goals | 30% | 70% |
| Total | 29.5% | 70.5% |
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home5.67 @ Pinnacle
Draw4.62 @ 1xBet
Away1.65 @ Betano
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.63 @ 1xBet
Under 2.52.49 @ SBO
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.70 @ Bet365
No2.28 @ Pinnacle
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League standings
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