La Liga — Spain
Mon, Feb 9 2026 • 20:00 • Estadio de la Ceramica
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.53 (league 1.51) 0.84 (league 1.15)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
53.2% 25.8% 20.5%
best score tips
1 - 0
14.4%
1 - 1
12.0%
2 - 0
11.0%
Score & goals probability table
Espanyol
0 1 2 3 4 5
Villarreal 0 9.4% 7.8% 3.3% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
1 14.4% 12.0% 5.0% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0%
2 11.0% 9.2% 3.8% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
3 5.6% 4.7% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 2.1% 1.8% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.7% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricVillarrealEspanyol
Played55
Form47%7%
Attack62%31%
Defense38%23%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.64 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.610 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

76%
FT probability

2.5+

53%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Villarreal Espanyol
HATHAT
Played111021121022
Wins73%50%62%50%40%45%
Draws9%20%14%8%30%18%
Loses18%30%24%42%30%36%

Form: Villarreal: WWDLWWWLDWWWWWWLWWLLD • Espanyol: WDWWLDDLWWLLWWWWWLDLLL

League goals

Metric Villarreal Espanyol
HATHAT
GF total231639141226
GF avg2.11.61.91.21.21.2
GA total91423161127
GA avg0.81.41.11.31.11.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineVillarrealEspanyol
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.581%67%77%68%
1.567%38%36%50%
2.524%5%5%5%
3.510%0%0%0%
4.55%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricVillarrealEspanyol
HATHAT
Clean sheets527347
Failed to score224325

Penalties

MetricVillarrealEspanyol
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total23

Streaks

MetricVillarrealEspanyol
Wins65
Draws12
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-01-33-20-2
Biggest losses0-23-10-22-0
Goals For5332
Goals Against2323

Model comparison

MetricVillarrealEspanyol
Form88%13%
Att67%33%
Def56%44%
Poisson Distribution64%36%
H2h100%0%
Goals77%23%
Total70.4%29.8%

Advice: Double chance : Villarreal or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.78 @ 1xBet
Draw4.11 @ 1xBet
Away5.00 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.89 @ 188Bet
Under 2.52.08 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.83 @ Pinnacle
No2.07 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Villarreal = 1.53 (league 1.51), Espanyol = 0.84 (league 1.15)

Espanyol
0 1 2 3 4 5
Villarreal 0 9.4% 7.8% 3.3% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
1 14.4% 12.0% 5.0% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0%
2 11.0% 9.2% 3.8% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
3 5.6% 4.7% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 2.1% 1.8% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.7% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 53.2% · Draw 25.8% · Away win 20.5%

vtt 10 , vtd1