La Liga — Spain
Mon, Feb 16 2026 • 20:00 • Estadio Municipal de Montilivi
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.91 (league 1.48) 3.35 (league 1.15)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
6.5% 10.4% 70.8%
best score tips
0 - 3
8.8%
1 - 3
8.1%
0 - 2
7.9%
Score & goals probability table
Barcelona
0 1 2 3 4 5
Girona 0 1.4% 4.7% 7.9% 8.8% 7.4% 4.9%
1 1.3% 4.3% 7.2% 8.1% 6.7% 4.5%
2 0.6% 2.0% 3.3% 3.7% 3.1% 2.1%
3 0.2% 0.6% 1.0% 1.1% 0.9% 0.6%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricGironaBarcelona
Played55
Form53%80%
Attack31%75%
Defense81%81%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 112 | 2.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.63 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

91%
FT probability

2.5+

64%
FT probability

3.5+

45%
FT probability

BTTS

75%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Girona Barcelona
HATHAT
Played111223111223
Wins27%25%26%100%67%83%
Draws36%33%35%0%8%4%
Loses36%42%39%0%25%13%

Form: Girona: LLLDLDDWLDLWDDLWLWWWDLD • Barcelona: WWDWWWWLWLWWWWWWWWWLWWW

League goals

Metric Girona Barcelona
HATHAT
GF total101222342963
GF avg0.91.01.03.12.42.7
GA total18193751823
GA avg1.61.61.60.51.51.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineGironaBarcelona
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.570%83%100%61%
1.522%39%83%26%
2.54%26%61%9%
3.50%9%17%4%
4.50%4%9%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricGironaBarcelona
HATHAT
Clean sheets314639
Failed to score437000

Penalties

MetricGironaBarcelona
Scored (total | %)6 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total64

Streaks

MetricGironaBarcelona
Wins39
Draws21
Losses31

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-10-26-00-3
Biggest losses0-45-0—4-1
Goals For3265
Goals Against4514

Model comparison

MetricGironaBarcelona
Form40%60%
Att29%71%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution20%80%
H2h40%60%
Goals44%56%
Total37.2%62.8%

Advice: Winner : Barcelona

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home8.50 @ Unibet
Draw5.90 @ 188Bet
Away1.43 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.38 @ Betano
Under 2.53.45 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.61 @ Pinnacle
No2.45 @ Superbet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Girona = 0.91 (league 1.48), Barcelona = 3.35 (league 1.15)

Barcelona
0 1 2 3 4 5
Girona 0 1.4% 4.7% 7.9% 8.8% 7.4% 4.9%
1 1.3% 4.3% 7.2% 8.1% 6.7% 4.5%
2 0.6% 2.0% 3.3% 3.7% 3.1% 2.1%
3 0.2% 0.6% 1.0% 1.1% 0.9% 0.6%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 6.5% · Draw 10.4% · Away win 70.8%

vtt 11 , vtd1