La Liga — Spain
Sun, Mar 1 2026 • 20:00 • Estadio Municipal de Montilivi
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.68 (league 1.47) 1.81 (league 1.15)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
13.4% 22.1% 63.4%
best score tips
0 - 1
15.0%
0 - 2
13.6%
1 - 1
10.2%
Score & goals probability table
Celta Vigo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Girona 0 8.3% 15.0% 13.6% 8.2% 3.7% 1.3%
1 5.7% 10.2% 9.2% 5.6% 2.5% 0.9%
2 1.9% 3.5% 3.1% 1.9% 0.9% 0.3%
3 0.4% 0.8% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricGironaCelta Vigo
Played55
Form40%33%
Attack55%55%
Defense45%36%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.26 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.27 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

71%
FT probability

2.5+

50%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Girona Celta Vigo
HATHAT
Played121325131225
Wins33%23%28%31%42%36%
Draws33%38%36%38%42%40%
Loses33%38%36%31%17%24%

Form: Girona: LLLDLDDWLDLWDDLWLWWWDLDWD • Celta Vigo: LDDDDDLDDWWLWLWWDWWWLDLDW

League goals

Metric Girona Celta Vigo
HATHAT
GF total121426191534
GF avg1.01.11.01.51.31.4
GA total192140151227
GA avg1.61.61.61.21.01.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineGironaCelta Vigo
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.572%84%84%68%
1.528%40%36%28%
2.54%24%12%8%
3.50%8%4%4%
4.50%4%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricGironaCelta Vigo
HATHAT
Clean sheets314358
Failed to score437224

Penalties

MetricGironaCelta Vigo
Scored (total | %)6 | 100.00%7 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total67

Streaks

MetricGironaCelta Vigo
Wins33
Draws25
Losses31

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-10-24-10-2
Biggest losses0-45-02-43-1
Goals For3243
Goals Against4543

Model comparison

MetricGironaCelta Vigo
Form55%45%
Att50%50%
Def54%46%
Poisson Distribution27%73%
H2h75%25%
Goals60%40%
Total53.5%46.5%

Advice: Double chance : Girona or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.46 @ 1xBet
Draw3.46 @ 1xBet
Away3.13 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.97 @ 1xBet
Under 2.52.00 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.75 @ Bet365
No2.19 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Girona = 0.68 (league 1.47), Celta Vigo = 1.81 (league 1.15)

Celta Vigo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Girona 0 8.3% 15.0% 13.6% 8.2% 3.7% 1.3%
1 5.7% 10.2% 9.2% 5.6% 2.5% 0.9%
2 1.9% 3.5% 3.1% 1.9% 0.9% 0.3%
3 0.4% 0.8% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 13.4% · Draw 22.1% · Away win 63.4%

vtt 42 , vtd5