Mon, Mar 2 2026 • 20:00 • Estadio Santiago Bernabéu
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.44 (league 1.47) 0.49 (league 1.15)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
76.7% 13.9% 5.6%
best score tips
2 - 0
15.9%
1 - 0
13.0%
3 - 0
13.0%
Score & goals probability table
Getafe
0 1 2 3 4 5
Real Madrid 0 5.3% 2.6% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 13.0% 6.4% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 15.9% 7.8% 1.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 13.0% 6.3% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
4 7.9% 3.9% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 3.9% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricReal MadridGetafe
Played55
Form80%53%
Attack85%38%
Defense69%77%
Goals For (tot | avg)11 | 2.25 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.83 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

74%
FT probability

2.5+

52%
FT probability

3.5+

37%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Real Madrid Getafe
HATHAT
Played121325131225
Wins92%62%76%31%33%32%
Draws0%23%12%23%17%20%
Loses8%15%12%46%50%48%

Form: Real Madrid: WWWWWWLWWWWDDDWLWWWWWWWWL • Getafe: WWLWLDDLLWWLLWLLLDLLDDWWL

League goals

Metric Real Madrid Getafe
HATHAT
GF total292554101020
GF avg2.41.92.20.80.80.8
GA total81321111829
GA avg0.71.00.80.81.51.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineReal MadridGetafe
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.592%56%56%76%
1.576%16%24%24%
2.528%4%0%12%
3.516%4%0%4%
4.54%4%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricReal MadridGetafe
HATHAT
Clean sheets5611336
Failed to score1126511

Penalties

MetricReal MadridGetafe
Scored (total | %)11 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total112

Streaks

MetricReal MadridGetafe
Wins82
Draws32
Losses13

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-11-42-00-2
Biggest losses0-25-21-24-0
Goals For5422
Goals Against2524

Model comparison

MetricReal MadridGetafe
Form60%40%
Att69%31%
Def43%57%
Poisson Distribution83%17%
H2h100%0%
Goals89%11%
Total68.8%31.2%

Advice: Winner : Real Madrid

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.40 @ 1xBet
Draw5.02 @ 1xBet
Away11.00 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.98 @ SBO
Under 2.51.97 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.41 @ Pinnacle
No1.62 @ 10Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Real Madrid = 2.44 (league 1.47), Getafe = 0.49 (league 1.15)

Getafe
0 1 2 3 4 5
Real Madrid 0 5.3% 2.6% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 13.0% 6.4% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 15.9% 7.8% 1.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 13.0% 6.3% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
4 7.9% 3.9% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 3.9% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 76.7% · Draw 13.9% · Away win 5.6%

vtt 1 , vtd1