Sat, Feb 28 2026 • 20:00 • Estadio Nuevo Carlos Tartiere
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.30 (league 1.48) 0.96 (league 1.15)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
11.3% 37.2% 51.4%
best score tips
0 - 0
28.5%
0 - 1
27.3%
0 - 2
13.1%
Score & goals probability table
Atletico Madrid
0 1 2 3 4 5
Oviedo 0 28.5% 27.3% 13.1% 4.2% 1.0% 0.2%
1 8.5% 8.1% 3.9% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
2 1.3% 1.2% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricOviedoAtletico Madrid
Played55
Form27%47%
Attack50%50%
Defense21%57%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.47 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)11 | 2.26 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

61%
FT probability

2.5+

43%
FT probability

3.5+

30%
FT probability

BTTS

58%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Oviedo Atletico Madrid
HATHAT
Played121224131225
Wins17%8%13%85%25%56%
Draws42%25%33%8%42%24%
Loses42%67%54%8%33%20%

Form: Oviedo: LLWLLLWLLDDLDLDLDDDLLWLD • Atletico Madrid: LDDWDWWDWWWWWWLLWWDWWDLLW

League goals

Metric Oviedo Atletico Madrid
HATHAT
GF total51116301242
GF avg0.40.90.72.31.01.7
GA total132639101323
GA avg1.12.21.60.81.10.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineOviedoAtletico Madrid
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.542%75%84%60%
1.517%54%44%24%
2.58%29%28%8%
3.50%4%8%0%
4.50%0%4%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricOviedoAtletico Madrid
HATHAT
Clean sheets6066410
Failed to score7714134

Penalties

MetricOviedoAtletico Madrid
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricOviedoAtletico Madrid
Wins16
Draws32
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-01-25-20-3
Biggest losses0-34-00-13-0
Goals For1353
Goals Against3423

Model comparison

MetricOviedoAtletico Madrid
Form36%64%
Att50%50%
Def35%65%
Poisson Distribution23%77%
H2h0%100%
Goals0%100%
Total36.0%64.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Atletico Madrid

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home5.10 @ Betano
Draw3.54 @ 1xBet
Away1.95 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.19 @ 1xBet
Under 2.51.84 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.95 @ Pinnacle
No1.92 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Oviedo = 0.30 (league 1.48), Atletico Madrid = 0.96 (league 1.15)

Atletico Madrid
0 1 2 3 4 5
Oviedo 0 28.5% 27.3% 13.1% 4.2% 1.0% 0.2%
1 8.5% 8.1% 3.9% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
2 1.3% 1.2% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 11.3% · Draw 37.2% · Away win 51.4%

vtt 17 , vtd1