Sat, Mar 7 2026 • 17:30 • Metropolitano Stadium
Not Started
Expected Goals
2.19 (league 1.47) 0.77 (league 1.15)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
67.5% 18.4% 11.7%
best score tips
2 - 0
12.5%
1 - 0
11.4%
2 - 1
9.6%
Score & goals probability table
Real Sociedad
0 1 2 3 4 5
Atletico Madrid 0 5.2% 4.0% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 11.4% 8.7% 3.4% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
2 12.5% 9.6% 3.7% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 9.1% 7.0% 2.7% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
4 5.0% 3.8% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 2.2% 1.7% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAtletico MadridReal Sociedad
Played55
Form47%53%
Attack42%75%
Defense50%25%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 19 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.29 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

80%
FT probability

2.5+

56%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

76%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Atletico Madrid Real Sociedad
HATHAT
Played131326131326
Wins85%31%58%46%23%35%
Draws8%38%23%23%38%31%
Loses8%31%19%31%38%35%

Form: Atletico Madrid: LDDWDWWDWWWWWWLLWWDWWDLLWW • Real Sociedad: DDLLLWLLDWWDWLLLDDWWWDWLDW

League goals

Metric Atletico Madrid Real Sociedad
HATHAT
GF total301343241438
GF avg2.31.01.71.81.11.5
GA total101323201838
GA avg0.81.00.91.51.41.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAtletico MadridReal Sociedad
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.585%58%88%92%
1.542%23%38%35%
2.527%8%19%15%
3.58%0%0%4%
4.54%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAtletico MadridReal Sociedad
HATHAT
Clean sheets6511112
Failed to score134123

Penalties

MetricAtletico MadridReal Sociedad
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%5 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total25

Streaks

MetricAtletico MadridReal Sociedad
Wins63
Draws22
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-20-33-11-3
Biggest losses0-13-02-34-1
Goals For5333
Goals Against2334

Model comparison

MetricAtletico MadridReal Sociedad
Form47%53%
Att36%64%
Def60%40%
Poisson Distribution74%26%
H2h85%15%
Goals77%23%
Total63.2%36.8%

Advice: Double chance : Atletico Madrid or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.68 @ 1xBet
Draw4.26 @ 1xBet
Away5.64 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.87 @ 1xBet
Under 2.52.12 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.86 @ Pinnacle
No2.04 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Atletico Madrid = 2.19 (league 1.47), Real Sociedad = 0.77 (league 1.15)

Real Sociedad
0 1 2 3 4 5
Atletico Madrid 0 5.2% 4.0% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 11.4% 8.7% 3.4% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
2 12.5% 9.6% 3.7% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 9.1% 7.0% 2.7% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
4 5.0% 3.8% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 2.2% 1.7% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 67.5% · Draw 18.4% · Away win 11.7%

vtt 1 , vtd1