Fri, Mar 6 2026 • 20:00 • Estadio Abanca-Balaídos
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.02 (league 1.48) 1.98 (league 1.15)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
18.7% 21.4% 58.3%
best score tips
1 - 1
10.0%
1 - 2
10.0%
0 - 1
9.9%
Score & goals probability table
Real Madrid
0 1 2 3 4 5
Celta Vigo 0 5.0% 9.9% 9.8% 6.5% 3.2% 1.3%
1 5.1% 10.0% 10.0% 6.6% 3.3% 1.3%
2 2.6% 5.1% 5.1% 3.3% 1.7% 0.7%
3 0.9% 1.7% 1.7% 1.1% 0.6% 0.2%
4 0.2% 0.4% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCelta VigoReal Madrid
Played55
Form53%60%
Attack58%75%
Defense58%58%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.49 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 15 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

79%
FT probability

2.5+

55%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

72%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Celta Vigo Real Madrid
HATHAT
Played131326131326
Wins31%46%38%85%62%73%
Draws38%38%38%0%23%12%
Loses31%15%23%15%15%15%

Form: Celta Vigo: LDDDDDLDDWWLWLWWDWWWLDLDWW • Real Madrid: WWWWWWLWWWWDDDWLWWWWWWWWLL

League goals

Metric Celta Vigo Real Madrid
HATHAT
GF total191736292554
GF avg1.51.31.42.21.92.1
GA total15132891322
GA avg1.21.01.10.71.00.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCelta VigoReal Madrid
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.585%69%88%58%
1.538%27%73%15%
2.512%8%27%4%
3.54%4%15%4%
4.50%0%4%4%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCelta VigoReal Madrid
HATHAT
Clean sheets3585611
Failed to score224213

Penalties

MetricCelta VigoReal Madrid
Scored (total | %)7 | 100.00%11 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total711

Streaks

MetricCelta VigoReal Madrid
Wins38
Draws53
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-10-25-11-4
Biggest losses2-43-10-25-2
Goals For4354
Goals Against4325

Model comparison

MetricCelta VigoReal Madrid
Form47%53%
Att44%56%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution32%68%
H2h20%80%
Goals33%67%
Total37.7%62.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Real Madrid

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.32 @ 1xBet
Draw3.47 @ Pinnacle
Away2.36 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.11 @ SBO
Under 2.51.87 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.81 @ 188Bet
No2.12 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Celta Vigo = 1.02 (league 1.48), Real Madrid = 1.98 (league 1.15)

Real Madrid
0 1 2 3 4 5
Celta Vigo 0 5.0% 9.9% 9.8% 6.5% 3.2% 1.3%
1 5.1% 10.0% 10.0% 6.6% 3.3% 1.3%
2 2.6% 5.1% 5.1% 3.3% 1.7% 0.7%
3 0.9% 1.7% 1.7% 1.1% 0.6% 0.2%
4 0.2% 0.4% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 18.7% · Draw 21.4% · Away win 58.3%

vtt 1 , vtd1