La Liga — Spain
Sun, Mar 8 2026 • 17:30 • Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.59 (league 1.50) 1.05 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
49.3% 25.0% 25.0%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.9%
1 - 0
11.3%
2 - 1
9.5%
Score & goals probability table
Rayo Vallecano
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sevilla 0 7.1% 7.5% 3.9% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
1 11.3% 11.9% 6.3% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1%
2 9.0% 9.5% 5.0% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
3 4.8% 5.0% 2.6% 0.9% 0.2% 0.1%
4 1.9% 2.0% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.6% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSevillaRayo Vallecano
Played55
Form40%53%
Attack40%60%
Defense47%73%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.29 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.64 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

75%
FT probability

2.5+

53%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Sevilla Rayo Vallecano
HATHAT
Played131326131326
Wins31%31%31%31%23%27%
Draws23%23%23%54%15%35%
Loses46%46%46%15%62%38%

Form: Sevilla: LLWDWLWWLLLWLLDWLLLDWLDDWD • Rayo Vallecano: WLDLDLLWWWLDDDLDLDWLLLWDDW

League goals

Metric Sevilla Rayo Vallecano
HATHAT
GF total181634151126
GF avg1.41.21.31.20.81.0
GA total192241102232
GA avg1.51.71.60.81.71.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSevillaRayo Vallecano
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.581%81%62%69%
1.535%54%23%27%
2.58%19%15%19%
3.58%4%0%8%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSevillaRayo Vallecano
HATHAT
Clean sheets235538
Failed to score3253710

Penalties

MetricSevillaRayo Vallecano
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total43

Streaks

MetricSevillaRayo Vallecano
Wins23
Draws23
Losses33

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-23-00-3
Biggest losses0-34-11-34-0
Goals For4233
Goals Against3434

Model comparison

MetricSevillaRayo Vallecano
Form43%57%
Att40%60%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution58%42%
H2h85%15%
Goals64%36%
Total53.8%46.2%

Advice: Double chance : Sevilla or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.79 @ 1xBet
Draw3.18 @ 1xBet
Away2.92 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.32 @ 1xBet
Under 2.51.71 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.92 @ Pinnacle
No1.94 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Sevilla = 1.59 (league 1.50), Rayo Vallecano = 1.05 (league 1.14)

Rayo Vallecano
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sevilla 0 7.1% 7.5% 3.9% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
1 11.3% 11.9% 6.3% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1%
2 9.0% 9.5% 5.0% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
3 4.8% 5.0% 2.6% 0.9% 0.2% 0.1%
4 1.9% 2.0% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.6% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 49.3% · Draw 25.0% · Away win 25.0%

vtt 1 , vtd1