La Liga — Spain
Mon, Mar 16 2026 • 20:00 • Campo de Futbol de Vallecas
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.28 (league 1.50) 0.84 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
46.6% 28.8% 24.4%
best score tips
1 - 0
15.3%
1 - 1
12.9%
0 - 0
11.9%
Score & goals probability table
Levante
0 1 2 3 4 5
Rayo Vallecano 0 11.9% 10.1% 4.2% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0%
1 15.3% 12.9% 5.4% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1%
2 9.8% 8.3% 3.5% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
3 4.2% 3.5% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.3% 1.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricRayo VallecanoLevante
Played55
Form60%27%
Attack43%14%
Defense86%67%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.83 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.67 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

70%
FT probability

2.5+

49%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

65%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Rayo Vallecano Levante
HATHAT
Played131427141327
Wins31%21%26%14%23%19%
Draws54%21%37%36%15%26%
Loses15%57%37%50%62%56%

Form: Rayo Vallecano: WLDLDLLWWWLDDDLDLDWLLLWDDWD • Levante: LLLDWLDWLDLLLLLDWDLWDLLLLWD

League goals

Metric Rayo Vallecano Levante
HATHAT
GF total151227141529
GF avg1.20.91.01.01.21.1
GA total102333242145
GA avg0.81.61.21.71.61.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineRayo VallecanoLevante
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.563%70%63%81%
1.522%26%30%56%
2.515%19%11%22%
3.50%7%4%7%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricRayo VallecanoLevante
HATHAT
Clean sheets538235
Failed to score37105510

Penalties

MetricRayo VallecanoLevante
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total32

Streaks

MetricRayo VallecanoLevante
Wins31
Draws31
Losses35

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-32-00-4
Biggest losses1-34-01-43-0
Goals For3334
Goals Against3444

Model comparison

MetricRayo VallecanoLevante
Form69%31%
Att75%25%
Def70%30%
Poisson Distribution60%40%
H2h50%50%
Goals47%53%
Total61.8%38.2%

Advice: Double chance : Rayo Vallecano or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.75 @ 1xBet
Draw3.92 @ 1xBet
Away5.40 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.08 @ 188Bet
Under 2.51.88 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.97 @ 188Bet
No1.90 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Rayo Vallecano = 1.28 (league 1.50), Levante = 0.84 (league 1.14)

Levante
0 1 2 3 4 5
Rayo Vallecano 0 11.9% 10.1% 4.2% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0%
1 15.3% 12.9% 5.4% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1%
2 9.8% 8.3% 3.5% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
3 4.2% 3.5% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.3% 1.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 46.6% · Draw 28.8% · Away win 24.4%

vtt 1 , vtd1