Sat, Mar 14 2026 • 20:00 • Estadio Santiago Bernabéu
Not Started
Expected Goals
2.98 (league 1.48) 0.61 (league 1.15)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
76.4% 10.6% 4.8%
best score tips
2 - 0
12.3%
3 - 0
12.2%
4 - 0
9.1%
Score & goals probability table
Elche
0 1 2 3 4 5
Real Madrid 0 2.8% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 8.2% 5.0% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 12.3% 7.5% 2.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 12.2% 7.4% 2.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 9.1% 5.5% 1.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 5.4% 3.3% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricReal MadridElche
Played55
Form60%13%
Attack64%36%
Defense64%36%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.85 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 19 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

84%
FT probability

2.5+

59%
FT probability

3.5+

42%
FT probability

BTTS

76%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Real Madrid Elche
HATHAT
Played131427141327
Wins85%64%74%36%0%19%
Draws0%21%11%50%31%41%
Loses15%14%15%14%69%41%

Form: Real Madrid: WWWWWWLWWWWDDDWLWWWWWWWWLLW • Elche: DDWDWDWLDLLDDLWLWLDDLLLDLDL

League goals

Metric Real Madrid Elche
HATHAT
GF total292756221335
GF avg2.21.92.11.61.01.3
GA total91423152641
GA avg0.71.00.91.12.01.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineReal MadridElche
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.589%59%85%78%
1.574%15%33%48%
2.526%4%7%26%
3.515%4%4%0%
4.54%4%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricReal MadridElche
HATHAT
Clean sheets5611606
Failed to score213224

Penalties

MetricReal MadridElche
Scored (total | %)11 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total112

Streaks

MetricReal MadridElche
Wins81
Draws32
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-11-44-0
Biggest losses0-25-21-33-1
Goals For5442
Goals Against2533

Model comparison

MetricReal MadridElche
Form82%18%
Att64%36%
Def64%36%
Poisson Distribution83%17%
H2h85%15%
Goals72%28%
Total75.0%25.0%

Advice: Winner : Real Madrid

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.33 @ 1xBet
Draw6.35 @ 1xBet
Away9.50 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.48 @ Unibet
Under 2.52.89 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.79 @ Unibet
No2.09 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Real Madrid = 2.98 (league 1.48), Elche = 0.61 (league 1.15)

Elche
0 1 2 3 4 5
Real Madrid 0 2.8% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 8.2% 5.0% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 12.3% 7.5% 2.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 12.2% 7.4% 2.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 9.1% 5.5% 1.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 5.4% 3.3% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 76.4% · Draw 10.6% · Away win 4.8%

vtt 1 , vtd1