La Liga — Spain
Sun, Mar 22 2026 • 13:00 • Camp Nou
Match Finished
Expected Goals
3.51 (league 1.51) 0.47 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
76.9% 6.5% 2.3%
best score tips
3 - 0
13.4%
4 - 0
11.8%
2 - 0
11.5%
Score & goals probability table
Rayo Vallecano
0 1 2 3 4 5
Barcelona 0 1.9% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 6.6% 3.1% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 11.5% 5.4% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 13.4% 6.4% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 11.8% 5.6% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 8.3% 3.9% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBarcelonaRayo Vallecano
Played55
Form80%47%
Attack93%47%
Defense67%73%
Goals For (tot | avg)14 | 2.87 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 14 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

89%
FT probability

2.5+

62%
FT probability

3.5+

44%
FT probability

BTTS

70%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Barcelona Rayo Vallecano
HATHAT
Played141428141428
Wins100%64%82%29%21%25%
Draws0%7%4%57%21%39%
Loses0%29%14%14%57%36%

Form: Barcelona: WWDWWWWLWLWWWWWWWWWLWWWLWWWW • Rayo Vallecano: WLDLDLLWWWLDDDLDLDWLLLWDDWDD

League goals

Metric Barcelona Rayo Vallecano
HATHAT
GF total463177161228
GF avg3.32.22.81.10.91.0
GA total82028112334
GA avg0.61.41.00.81.61.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBarcelonaRayo Vallecano
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%61%64%71%
1.579%29%21%25%
2.561%7%14%18%
3.521%4%0%7%
4.511%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBarcelonaRayo Vallecano
HATHAT
Clean sheets7411538
Failed to score0003710

Penalties

MetricBarcelonaRayo Vallecano
Scored (total | %)6 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total63

Streaks

MetricBarcelonaRayo Vallecano
Wins93
Draws13
Losses13

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins6-00-33-00-3
Biggest losses—4-11-34-0
Goals For6533
Goals Against2434

Model comparison

MetricBarcelonaRayo Vallecano
Form63%37%
Att67%33%
Def44%56%
Poisson Distribution89%11%
H2h85%15%
Goals73%27%
Total70.2%29.8%

Advice: Winner : Barcelona

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.25 @ Pinnacle
Draw7.60 @ 1xBet
Away13.00 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.33 @ 10Bet
Under 2.53.65 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.73 @ Pinnacle
No2.17 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Barcelona = 3.51 (league 1.51), Rayo Vallecano = 0.47 (league 1.14)

Rayo Vallecano
0 1 2 3 4 5
Barcelona 0 1.9% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 6.6% 3.1% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 11.5% 5.4% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 13.4% 6.4% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 11.8% 5.6% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 8.3% 3.9% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 76.9% · Draw 6.5% · Away win 2.3%

vtt 1 , vtd1