Fri, Mar 20 2026 • 20:00 • Estadio de la Ceramica
Not Started
Expected Goals
2.21 (league 1.50) 0.87 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
65.3% 18.7% 13.4%
best score tips
2 - 0
11.2%
1 - 0
10.2%
2 - 1
9.8%
Score & goals probability table
Real Sociedad
0 1 2 3 4 5
Villarreal 0 4.6% 4.0% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 10.2% 8.9% 3.8% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
2 11.2% 9.8% 4.2% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0%
3 8.3% 7.2% 3.1% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
4 4.6% 4.0% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
5 2.0% 1.7% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricVillarrealReal Sociedad
Played55
Form67%47%
Attack39%56%
Defense61%39%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.410 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.411 | 2.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

84%
FT probability

2.5+

59%
FT probability

3.5+

42%
FT probability

BTTS

78%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Villarreal Real Sociedad
HATHAT
Played141428141428
Wins79%43%61%50%21%36%
Draws7%21%14%21%36%29%
Loses14%36%25%29%43%36%

Form: Villarreal: WWDLWWWLDWWWWWWLWWLLDWLWWLWD • Real Sociedad: DDLLLWLLDWWDWLLLDDWWWDWLDWLW

League goals

Metric Villarreal Real Sociedad
HATHAT
GF total312051271643
GF avg2.21.41.81.91.11.5
GA total122133212142
GA avg0.91.51.21.51.51.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineVillarrealReal Sociedad
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.586%71%89%93%
1.561%36%43%36%
2.521%7%21%18%
3.511%4%0%4%
4.54%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricVillarrealReal Sociedad
HATHAT
Clean sheets538112
Failed to score224123

Penalties

MetricVillarrealReal Sociedad
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%6 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total36

Streaks

MetricVillarrealReal Sociedad
Wins63
Draws12
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-01-33-11-3
Biggest losses0-24-12-34-1
Goals For5333
Goals Against2434

Model comparison

MetricVillarrealReal Sociedad
Form59%41%
Att41%59%
Def61%39%
Poisson Distribution71%29%
H2h50%50%
Goals47%53%
Total54.8%45.2%

Advice: Double chance : Villarreal or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.00 @ 1xBet
Draw3.79 @ 1xBet
Away4.00 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.83 @ Unibet
Under 2.52.14 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.70 @ 10Bet
No2.27 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Villarreal = 2.21 (league 1.50), Real Sociedad = 0.87 (league 1.14)

Real Sociedad
0 1 2 3 4 5
Villarreal 0 4.6% 4.0% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 10.2% 8.9% 3.8% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
2 11.2% 9.8% 4.2% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0%
3 8.3% 7.2% 3.1% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
4 4.6% 4.0% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
5 2.0% 1.7% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 65.3% · Draw 18.7% · Away win 13.4%

vtt 1 , vtd1