Sat, Apr 4 2026 • 19:00 • Riyadh Air Metropolitano
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.14 (league 1.51) 1.54 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
49.3% 20.8% 27.3%
best score tips
2 - 1
8.9%
1 - 1
8.3%
2 - 2
6.9%
Score & goals probability table
Barcelona
0 1 2 3 4 5
Atletico Madrid 0 2.5% 3.9% 3.0% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2%
1 5.4% 8.3% 6.4% 3.3% 1.3% 0.4%
2 5.8% 8.9% 6.9% 3.5% 1.4% 0.4%
3 4.1% 6.3% 4.9% 2.5% 1.0% 0.3%
4 2.2% 3.4% 2.6% 1.3% 0.5% 0.2%
5 0.9% 1.5% 1.1% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAtletico MadridBarcelona
Played55
Form80%100%
Attack61%78%
Defense61%83%
Goals For (tot | avg)11 | 2.214 | 2.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.43 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

94%
FT probability

2.5+

66%
FT probability

3.5+

47%
FT probability

BTTS

75%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Atletico Madrid Barcelona
HATHAT
Played151429151429
Wins87%29%59%100%64%83%
Draws7%36%21%0%7%3%
Loses7%36%21%0%29%14%

Form: Atletico Madrid: LDDWDWWDWWWWWWLLWWDWWDLLWWWWL • Barcelona: WWDWWWWLWLWWWWWWWWWLWWWLWWWWW

League goals

Metric Atletico Madrid Barcelona
HATHAT
GF total341549473178
GF avg2.31.11.73.12.22.7
GA total12162882028
GA avg0.81.11.00.51.41.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAtletico MadridBarcelona
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.586%59%100%59%
1.545%28%76%28%
2.528%10%59%7%
3.57%0%21%3%
4.53%0%10%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAtletico MadridBarcelona
HATHAT
Clean sheets75128412
Failed to score134000

Penalties

MetricAtletico MadridBarcelona
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%6 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total26

Streaks

MetricAtletico MadridBarcelona
Wins69
Draws21
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-20-36-00-3
Biggest losses0-13-04-1
Goals For5365
Goals Against2324

Model comparison

MetricAtletico MadridBarcelona
Form44%56%
Att44%56%
Def30%70%
Poisson Distribution57%43%
H2h20%80%
Goals39%61%
Total39.0%61.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Barcelona

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.24 @ 1xBet
Draw3.90 @ BetVictor
Away2.24 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.50 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.75 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.43 @ Marathonbet
No2.94 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Atletico Madrid = 2.14 (league 1.51), Barcelona = 1.54 (league 1.14)

Barcelona
0 1 2 3 4 5
Atletico Madrid 0 2.5% 3.9% 3.0% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2%
1 5.4% 8.3% 6.4% 3.3% 1.3% 0.4%
2 5.8% 8.9% 6.9% 3.5% 1.4% 0.4%
3 4.1% 6.3% 4.9% 2.5% 1.0% 0.3%
4 2.2% 3.4% 2.6% 1.3% 0.5% 0.2%
5 0.9% 1.5% 1.1% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 49.3% · Draw 20.8% · Away win 27.3%

vtt 1 , vtd1