La Liga — Spain
Mon, Apr 6 2026 • 19:00 • Estadio Municipal de Montilivi
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.10 (league 1.51) 1.84 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
22.3% 22.8% 53.7%
best score tips
1 - 1
10.7%
1 - 2
9.8%
0 - 1
9.8%
Score & goals probability table
Villarreal
0 1 2 3 4 5
Girona 0 5.3% 9.8% 9.0% 5.5% 2.5% 0.9%
1 5.8% 10.7% 9.8% 6.0% 2.8% 1.0%
2 3.2% 5.9% 5.4% 3.3% 1.5% 0.6%
3 1.2% 2.1% 2.0% 1.2% 0.6% 0.2%
4 0.3% 0.6% 0.5% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricGironaVillarreal
Played55
Form33%67%
Attack47%60%
Defense60%47%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.49 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.28 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

80%
FT probability

2.5+

56%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

73%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Girona Villarreal
HATHAT
Played141529151429
Wins36%20%28%80%43%62%
Draws29%40%34%7%21%14%
Loses36%40%38%13%36%24%

Form: Girona: LLLDLDDWLDLWDDLWLWWWDLDWDLDWL • Villarreal: WWDLWWWLDWWWWWWLWWLLDWLWWLWDW

League goals

Metric Girona Villarreal
HATHAT
GF total161531342054
GF avg1.11.01.12.31.41.9
GA total212344132134
GA avg1.51.51.50.91.51.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineGironaVillarreal
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.572%83%86%72%
1.528%38%62%34%
2.57%21%24%7%
3.50%7%10%3%
4.50%3%3%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricGironaVillarreal
HATHAT
Clean sheets415538
Failed to score448224

Penalties

MetricGironaVillarreal
Scored (total | %)6 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total63

Streaks

MetricGironaVillarreal
Wins36
Draws21
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-25-01-3
Biggest losses0-45-00-24-1
Goals For3253
Goals Against4524

Model comparison

MetricGironaVillarreal
Form33%67%
Att44%56%
Def57%43%
Poisson Distribution36%64%
H2h29%71%
Goals29%71%
Total38.0%62.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Villarreal

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.20 @ Superbet
Draw3.65 @ Pinnacle
Away2.36 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.73 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.33 @ SBO

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.57 @ Bet365
No2.46 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Girona = 1.10 (league 1.51), Villarreal = 1.84 (league 1.14)

Villarreal
0 1 2 3 4 5
Girona 0 5.3% 9.8% 9.0% 5.5% 2.5% 0.9%
1 5.8% 10.7% 9.8% 6.0% 2.8% 1.0%
2 3.2% 5.9% 5.4% 3.3% 1.5% 0.6%
3 1.2% 2.1% 2.0% 1.2% 0.6% 0.2%
4 0.3% 0.6% 0.5% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 22.3% · Draw 22.8% · Away win 53.7%

vtt 1 , vtd1