Fri, Apr 3 2026 • 19:00 • Campo de Futbol de Vallecas
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.53 (league 1.51) 0.70 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
56.8% 25.7% 17.0%
best score tips
1 - 0
16.4%
2 - 0
12.6%
1 - 1
11.5%
Score & goals probability table
Elche
0 1 2 3 4 5
Rayo Vallecano 0 10.7% 7.5% 2.6% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 16.4% 11.5% 4.0% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
2 12.6% 8.8% 3.1% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
3 6.4% 4.5% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 2.5% 1.7% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.8% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricRayo VallecanoElche
Played55
Form40%27%
Attack33%39%
Defense78%39%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.27 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.811 | 2.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

72%
FT probability

2.5+

51%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

73%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Rayo Vallecano Elche
HATHAT
Played141529151429
Wins29%20%24%40%0%21%
Draws57%20%38%47%29%38%
Loses14%60%38%13%71%41%

Form: Rayo Vallecano: WLDLDLLWWWLDDDLDLDWLLLWDDWDDL • Elche: DDWDWDWLDLLDDLWLWLDDLLLDLDLLW

League goals

Metric Rayo Vallecano Elche
HATHAT
GF total161228241438
GF avg1.10.81.01.61.01.3
GA total112435163046
GA avg0.81.61.21.12.11.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineRayo VallecanoElche
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.562%72%86%79%
1.521%24%34%48%
2.514%17%7%28%
3.50%7%3%3%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricRayo VallecanoElche
HATHAT
Clean sheets538606
Failed to score3811224

Penalties

MetricRayo VallecanoElche
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total32

Streaks

MetricRayo VallecanoElche
Wins31
Draws32
Losses33

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-34-0
Biggest losses1-34-01-34-1
Goals For3342
Goals Against3434

Model comparison

MetricRayo VallecanoElche
Form60%40%
Att46%54%
Def73%27%
Poisson Distribution69%31%
H2h40%60%
Goals29%71%
Total52.8%47.2%

Advice: Double chance : Rayo Vallecano or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.78 @ Betano
Draw3.92 @ 1xBet
Away5.09 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.89 @ 1xBet
Under 2.52.06 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.80 @ Superbet
No2.09 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Rayo Vallecano = 1.53 (league 1.51), Elche = 0.70 (league 1.14)

Elche
0 1 2 3 4 5
Rayo Vallecano 0 10.7% 7.5% 2.6% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 16.4% 11.5% 4.0% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
2 12.6% 8.8% 3.1% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
3 6.4% 4.5% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 2.5% 1.7% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.8% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 56.8% · Draw 25.7% · Away win 17.0%

vtt 1 , vtd1