Fri, Apr 3 2026 • 19:00 •
Campo de Futbol de Vallecas
Expected Goals
1.51 (league 1.53)
0.70 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 56.1% | 26.1% | 17.3% |
best score tips
1 - 0
16.6%
2 - 0
12.5%
1 - 1
11.6%
Score & goals probability table
| Elche | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Rayo Vallecano | 0 | 11.0% | 7.7% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 16.6% | 11.6% | 4.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 12.5% | 8.7% | 3.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 6.3% | 4.4% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Rayo Vallecano | Elche |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 40% | 27% |
| Attack | 33% | 39% |
| Defense | 78% | 39% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 11 | 2.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.10
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.90
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
72%
FT probability
2.5+
51%
FT probability
3.5+
36%
FT probability
BTTS
73%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Rayo Vallecano | Elche | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 14 | 15 | 29 | 15 | 14 | 29 |
| Wins | 29% | 20% | 24% | 40% | 0% | 21% |
| Draws | 57% | 20% | 38% | 47% | 29% | 38% |
| Loses | 14% | 60% | 38% | 13% | 71% | 41% |
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ElcheDDWDWDWLDLLDDLWLWLDDLLLDLDLLW
League goals
| Metric | Rayo Vallecano | Elche | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 16 | 12 | 28 | 24 | 14 | 38 |
| GF avg | 1.1 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 1.6 | 1.0 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 11 | 24 | 35 | 16 | 30 | 46 |
| GA avg | 0.8 | 1.6 | 1.2 | 1.1 | 2.1 | 1.6 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Rayo Vallecano | Elche | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 62% | 72% | 86% | 79% |
| 1.5 | 21% | 24% | 34% | 48% |
| 2.5 | 14% | 17% | 7% | 28% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 7% | 3% | 3% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Rayo Vallecano | Elche | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 5 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 0 | 6 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 8 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | Rayo Vallecano | Elche |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 3 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 3 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Rayo Vallecano | Elche |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 1 |
| Draws | 3 | 2 |
| Losses | 3 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 0-3 | 4-0 | — |
| Biggest losses | 1-3 | 4-0 | 1-3 | 4-1 |
| Goals For | 3 | 3 | 4 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Rayo Vallecano | Elche |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 60% | 40% |
| Att | 46% | 54% |
| Def | 73% | 27% |
| Poisson Distribution | 69% | 31% |
| H2h | 40% | 60% |
| Goals | 29% | 71% |
| Total | 52.8% | 47.2% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.78 @ Betano
Draw3.92 @ 1xBet
Away5.09 @ 1xBet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.89 @ 1xBet
Under 2.52.06 @ 188Bet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.80 @ Superbet
No2.09 @ 188Bet
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League standings
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