La Liga — Spain
Sun, Apr 5 2026 • 14:15 • Estadio de Mestalla
Not Started
—
Expected Goals
0.93 (league 1.51) 1.24 (league 1.15)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
27.6% 28.9% 43.4%
best score tips
0 - 1
14.2%
1 - 1
13.2%
0 - 0
11.4%
Score & goals probability table
Celta Vigo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Valencia 0 11.4% 14.2% 8.8% 3.7% 1.1% 0.3%
1 10.6% 13.2% 8.2% 3.4% 1.1% 0.3%
2 4.9% 6.1% 3.8% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1%
3 1.5% 1.9% 1.2% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
4 0.4% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricValenciaCelta Vigo
Played55
Form60%47%
Attack39%50%
Defense72%56%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.49 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 18 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

71%
FT probability

2.5+

50%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Valencia Celta Vigo
HATHAT
Played141529151429
Wins43%20%31%27%43%34%
Draws36%20%28%33%43%38%
Loses21%60%41%40%14%28%

Form: Valencia: DLWLWDLLDLLDWDDLDLDWWLLWLWWLW • Celta Vigo: LDDDDDLDDWWLWLWWDWWWLDLDWWLDL

League goals

Metric Valencia Celta Vigo
HATHAT
GF total191332231841
GF avg1.40.91.11.51.31.4
GA total152742211435
GA avg1.11.81.41.41.01.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineValenciaCelta Vigo
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.576%72%86%72%
1.524%45%38%31%
2.510%10%14%10%
3.50%10%3%7%
4.50%3%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricValenciaCelta Vigo
HATHAT
Clean sheets448358
Failed to score257224

Penalties

MetricValenciaCelta Vigo
Scored (total | %)5 | 100.00%7 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total57

Streaks

MetricValenciaCelta Vigo
Wins23
Draws25
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-24-10-2
Biggest losses0-26-02-43-1
Goals For3243
Goals Against2643

Model comparison

MetricValenciaCelta Vigo
Form56%44%
Att44%56%
Def62%38%
Poisson Distribution41%59%
H2h29%71%
Goals35%65%
Total44.5%55.5%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Celta Vigo

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.41 @ 1xBet
Draw3.40 @ Unibet
Away3.30 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.22 @ 1xBet
Under 2.51.77 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.91 @ Bet365
No1.96 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Valencia = 0.93 (league 1.51), Celta Vigo = 1.24 (league 1.15)

Celta Vigo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Valencia 0 11.4% 14.2% 8.8% 3.7% 1.1% 0.3%
1 10.6% 13.2% 8.2% 3.4% 1.1% 0.3%
2 4.9% 6.1% 3.8% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1%
3 1.5% 1.9% 1.2% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
4 0.4% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 27.6% · Draw 28.9% · Away win 43.4%

vtt 1 , vtd1