La Liga — Spain
Sat, Apr 11 2026 • 14:15 • Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero
Not Started
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Expected Goals
1.91 (league 1.51) 0.87 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
60.5% 21.6% 16.4%
best score tips
1 - 0
11.9%
2 - 0
11.3%
1 - 1
10.3%
Score & goals probability table
Valencia
0 1 2 3 4 5
Elche 0 6.2% 5.4% 2.3% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
1 11.9% 10.3% 4.5% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0%
2 11.3% 9.8% 4.3% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0%
3 7.2% 6.3% 2.7% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
4 3.5% 3.0% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.3% 1.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricElcheValencia
Played55
Form27%60%
Attack40%53%
Defense33%60%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.28 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 26 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

78%
FT probability

2.5+

55%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Elche Valencia
HATHAT
Played151530151530
Wins40%0%20%40%20%30%
Draws47%27%37%33%20%27%
Loses13%73%43%27%60%43%

Form: Elche: DDWDWDWLDLLDDLWLWLDDLLLDLDLLWL • Valencia: DLWLWDLLDLLDWDDLDLDWWLLWLWWLWL

League goals

Metric Elche Valencia
HATHAT
GF total241438211334
GF avg1.60.91.31.40.91.1
GA total163147182745
GA avg1.12.11.61.21.81.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineElcheValencia
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.583%80%77%73%
1.533%47%27%47%
2.57%27%10%13%
3.53%3%0%10%
4.50%0%0%3%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricElcheValencia
HATHAT
Clean sheets606448
Failed to score235257

Penalties

MetricElcheValencia
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%5 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total25

Streaks

MetricElcheValencia
Wins12
Draws22
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-0—3-00-2
Biggest losses1-34-10-26-0
Goals For4232
Goals Against3436

Model comparison

MetricElcheValencia
Form31%69%
Att43%57%
Def38%63%
Poisson Distribution69%31%
H2h15%85%
Goals33%67%
Total38.2%62.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Valencia

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.46 @ 1xBet
Draw3.40 @ 188Bet
Away3.20 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.14 @ SBO
Under 2.51.83 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.82 @ 188Bet
No2.00 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Elche = 1.91 (league 1.51), Valencia = 0.87 (league 1.14)

Valencia
0 1 2 3 4 5
Elche 0 6.2% 5.4% 2.3% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
1 11.9% 10.3% 4.5% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0%
2 11.3% 9.8% 4.3% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0%
3 7.2% 6.3% 2.7% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
4 3.5% 3.0% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.3% 1.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 60.5% · Draw 21.6% · Away win 16.4%

vtt 1 , vtd1