Fri, Apr 10 2026 • 19:00 • Estadio Santiago Bernabéu
Not Started
Expected Goals
2.39 (league 1.51) 0.70 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
71.4% 16.0% 9.1%
best score tips
2 - 0
13.0%
1 - 0
10.9%
3 - 0
10.3%
Score & goals probability table
Girona
0 1 2 3 4 5
Real Madrid 0 4.5% 3.2% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
1 10.9% 7.6% 2.7% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 13.0% 9.1% 3.2% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
3 10.3% 7.3% 2.5% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
4 6.2% 4.3% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 3.0% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricReal MadridGirona
Played55
Form60%47%
Attack77%46%
Defense46%69%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 26 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.44 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

81%
FT probability

2.5+

57%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

74%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Real Madrid Girona
HATHAT
Played151530151530
Wins87%60%73%40%20%30%
Draws0%20%10%27%40%33%
Loses13%20%17%33%40%37%

Form: Real Madrid: WWWWWWLWWWWDDDWLWWWWWWWWLLWWWL • Girona: LLLDLDDWLDLWDDLWLWWWDLDWDLDWLW

League goals

Metric Real Madrid Girona
HATHAT
GF total362864171532
GF avg2.41.92.11.11.01.1
GA total121628212344
GA avg0.81.10.91.41.51.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineReal MadridGirona
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.590%63%73%80%
1.573%20%27%37%
2.530%3%7%20%
3.517%3%0%7%
4.53%3%0%3%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricReal MadridGirona
HATHAT
Clean sheets5611516
Failed to score213448

Penalties

MetricReal MadridGirona
Scored (total | %)12 | 100.00%6 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total126

Streaks

MetricReal MadridGirona
Wins83
Draws32
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-11-43-00-2
Biggest losses0-25-20-45-0
Goals For5432
Goals Against2545

Model comparison

MetricReal MadridGirona
Form56%44%
Att63%38%
Def36%64%
Poisson Distribution77%23%
H2h93%7%
Goals93%7%
Total69.7%30.5%

Advice: Winner : Real Madrid

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.34 @ 1xBet
Draw6.23 @ Pinnacle
Away9.50 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.45 @ Betano
Under 2.53.10 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.74 @ Marathonbet
No2.20 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Real Madrid = 2.39 (league 1.51), Girona = 0.70 (league 1.14)

Girona
0 1 2 3 4 5
Real Madrid 0 4.5% 3.2% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
1 10.9% 7.6% 2.7% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 13.0% 9.1% 3.2% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
3 10.3% 7.3% 2.5% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
4 6.2% 4.3% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 3.0% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 71.4% · Draw 16.0% · Away win 9.1%

vtt 1 , vtd1