Tue, Apr 21 2026 • 19:30 •
Estadio Santiago Bernabéu
Expected Goals
2.70 (league 1.53)
0.70 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 73.8% | 13.3% | 7.2% |
best score tips
2 - 0
12.2%
3 - 0
10.9%
1 - 0
9.0%
Score & goals probability table
| Alaves | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Real Madrid | 0 | 3.3% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 9.0% | 6.3% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 12.2% | 8.5% | 3.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 10.9% | 7.7% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 7.4% | 5.2% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Real Madrid | Alaves |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 67% | 40% |
| Attack | 100% | 100% |
| Defense | 30% | 0% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 11 | 2.2 | 12 | 2.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 12 | 2.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.20
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.60
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
82%
FT probability
2.5+
58%
FT probability
3.5+
41%
FT probability
BTTS
73%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
1-3
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Real Madrid | Alaves | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 16 | 15 | 31 | 15 | 16 | 31 |
| Wins | 81% | 60% | 71% | 33% | 19% | 26% |
| Draws | 6% | 20% | 13% | 40% | 19% | 29% |
| Loses | 13% | 20% | 16% | 27% | 63% | 45% |
Real MadridWWWWWWLWWWWDDDWLWWWWWWWWLLWWWLD
AlavesWLDWLDLWDLWLLLWLLDLLWWLDDLLDWDD
League goals
| Metric | Real Madrid | Alaves | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 37 | 28 | 65 | 19 | 16 | 35 |
| GF avg | 2.3 | 1.9 | 2.1 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 1.1 |
| GA total | 13 | 16 | 29 | 18 | 28 | 46 |
| GA avg | 0.8 | 1.1 | 0.9 | 1.2 | 1.8 | 1.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Real Madrid | Alaves | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 90% | 65% | 68% | 90% |
| 1.5 | 71% | 19% | 32% | 39% |
| 2.5 | 29% | 3% | 10% | 19% |
| 3.5 | 16% | 3% | 3% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 3% | 3% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Real Madrid | Alaves | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 5 | 6 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 10 |
Penalties
| Metric | Real Madrid | Alaves |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 12 | 100.00% | 6 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 12 | 6 |
Streaks
| Metric | Real Madrid | Alaves |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 8 | 2 |
| Draws | 3 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-1 | 1-4 | 3-1 | 3-4 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 5-2 | 0-2 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 5 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 5 | 2 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Real Madrid | Alaves |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 63% | 38% |
| Att | 48% | 52% |
| Def | 63% | 37% |
| Poisson Distribution | 78% | 22% |
| H2h | 100% | 0% |
| Goals | 80% | 20% |
| Total | 66.4% | 33.8% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.26 @ 1xBet
Draw7.50 @ Unibet
Away15.00 @ Unibet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.40 @ Bet365
Under 2.53.28 @ Pinnacle
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.93 @ Unibet
No2.05 @ William Hill
📊
League standings
Loading standings…