Sun, Aug 31 2025 • 17:30 • Estadio de Gran Canaria
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.34 (league 1.49) 0.92 (league 1.09)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
13.1% 38.0% 48.8%
best score tips
0 - 0
28.5%
0 - 1
26.2%
0 - 2
12.0%
Score & goals probability table
Malaga
0 1 2 3 4 5
Las Palmas 0 28.5% 26.2% 12.0% 3.7% 0.8% 0.2%
1 9.6% 8.8% 4.0% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
2 1.6% 1.5% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLas PalmasMalaga
Played22
Form67%67%
Attack33%17%
Defense83%92%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 22 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 11 | 0.5

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

46%
FT probability

2.5+

33%
FT probability

3.5+

23%
FT probability

BTTS

74%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Las Palmas Malaga
HATHAT
Played112202
Wins0%100%50%50%50%
Draws100%0%50%50%50%
Loses0%0%0%0%0%

Form: Las Palmas: DW • Malaga: DW

League goals

Metric Las Palmas Malaga
HATHAT
GF total134202
GF avg1.03.02.01.00.01.0
GA total112101
GA avg1.01.01.00.50.00.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLas PalmasMalaga
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%100%100%50%
1.550%0%0%0%
2.550%0%0%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLas PalmasMalaga
HATHAT
Clean sheets000101
Failed to score000000

Penalties

MetricLas PalmasMalaga
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricLas PalmasMalaga
Wins00
Draws11
Losses00

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-31-0
Biggest losses
Goals For1310
Goals Against1110

Model comparison

MetricLas PalmasMalaga
Form50%50%
Att67%33%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution0%0%
H2h62%38%
Goals63%38%
Total55.0%45.2%

Advice: Double chance : Las Palmas or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.86 @ 1xBet
Draw3.65 @ Unibet
Away4.80 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.35 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.85 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.17 @ 188Bet
No1.75 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Las Palmas = 0.34 (league 1.49), Malaga = 0.92 (league 1.09)

Malaga
0 1 2 3 4 5
Las Palmas 0 28.5% 26.2% 12.0% 3.7% 0.8% 0.2%
1 9.6% 8.8% 4.0% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
2 1.6% 1.5% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 13.1% · Draw 38.0% · Away win 48.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1