Sat, Sep 20 2025 • 19:00 • UD Almería Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.03 (league 1.46) 1.59 (league 1.10)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
24.5% 25.1% 49.8%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.9%
0 - 1
11.6%
1 - 2
9.5%
Score & goals probability table
Sporting Gijon
0 1 2 3 4 5
Almeria 0 7.3% 11.6% 9.2% 4.9% 1.9% 0.6%
1 7.5% 11.9% 9.5% 5.0% 2.0% 0.6%
2 3.9% 6.1% 4.9% 2.6% 1.0% 0.3%
3 1.3% 2.1% 1.7% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1%
4 0.3% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAlmeriaSporting Gijon
Played55
Form33%60%
Attack91%55%
Defense0%55%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 26 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)12 | 2.45 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

71%
FT probability

3.5+

50%
FT probability

BTTS

76%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Almeria Sporting Gijon
HATHAT
Played235325
Wins0%33%20%67%50%60%
Draws50%33%40%0%0%0%
Loses50%33%40%33%50%40%

Form: Almeria: DWDLL • Sporting Gijon: WWWLL

League goals

Metric Almeria Sporting Gijon
HATHAT
GF total6410516
GF avg3.01.32.01.70.51.2
GA total7512415
GA avg3.51.72.41.30.51.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAlmeriaSporting Gijon
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%80%80%60%
1.560%80%40%20%
2.520%60%0%20%
3.520%20%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAlmeriaSporting Gijon
HATHAT
Clean sheets011112
Failed to score000011

Penalties

MetricAlmeriaSporting Gijon
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total20

Streaks

MetricAlmeriaSporting Gijon
Wins13
Draws10
Losses00

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—0-12-10-1
Biggest losses2-33-12-31-0
Goals For4221
Goals Against4331

Model comparison

MetricAlmeriaSporting Gijon
Form36%64%
Att63%38%
Def29%71%
Poisson Distribution43%57%
H2h85%15%
Goals75%25%
Total55.2%45.0%

Advice: Double chance : Almeria or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.93 @ 188Bet
Draw3.74 @ Marathonbet
Away4.17 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.77 @ 188Bet
No2.12 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.91 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.03 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Almeria = 1.03 (league 1.46), Sporting Gijon = 1.59 (league 1.10)

Sporting Gijon
0 1 2 3 4 5
Almeria 0 7.3% 11.6% 9.2% 4.9% 1.9% 0.6%
1 7.5% 11.9% 9.5% 5.0% 2.0% 0.6%
2 3.9% 6.1% 4.9% 2.6% 1.0% 0.3%
3 1.3% 2.1% 1.7% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1%
4 0.3% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 24.5% · Draw 25.1% · Away win 49.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1