Sat, Sep 20 2025 • 16:30 • Estadio Municipal de Butarque
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.50 (league 1.49) 2.05 (league 1.10)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
7.9% 18.1% 72.1%
best score tips
0 - 2
16.3%
0 - 1
15.9%
0 - 3
11.2%
Score & goals probability table
Las Palmas
0 1 2 3 4 5
Leganes 0 7.7% 15.9% 16.3% 11.2% 5.7% 2.4%
1 3.9% 8.0% 8.2% 5.6% 2.9% 1.2%
2 1.0% 2.0% 2.1% 1.4% 0.7% 0.3%
3 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLeganesLas Palmas
Played55
Form47%53%
Attack35%35%
Defense76%76%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.26 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.84 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

64%
FT probability

2.5+

45%
FT probability

3.5+

32%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Leganes Las Palmas
HATHAT
Played235325
Wins0%33%20%33%50%40%
Draws100%67%80%33%50%40%
Loses0%0%0%33%0%20%

Form: Leganes: DDDDW • Las Palmas: DWLDW

League goals

Metric Leganes Las Palmas
HATHAT
GF total336336
GF avg1.51.01.21.01.51.2
GA total314314
GA avg1.50.30.81.00.50.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLeganesLas Palmas
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.580%60%60%80%
1.540%20%40%0%
2.50%0%20%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLeganesLas Palmas
HATHAT
Clean sheets022011
Failed to score011112

Penalties

MetricLeganesLas Palmas
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricLeganesLas Palmas
Wins01
Draws41
Losses01

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins0-22-11-3
Biggest losses0-1
Goals For2223
Goals Against2111

Model comparison

MetricLeganesLas Palmas
Form47%53%
Att50%50%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution22%78%
H2h50%50%
Goals45%55%
Total44.0%56.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Las Palmas

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.46 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.05 @ 188Bet
Away3.39 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.06 @ Pinnacle
No1.81 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.47 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.58 @ Marathonbet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Leganes = 0.50 (league 1.49), Las Palmas = 2.05 (league 1.10)

Las Palmas
0 1 2 3 4 5
Leganes 0 7.7% 15.9% 16.3% 11.2% 5.7% 2.4%
1 3.9% 8.0% 8.2% 5.6% 2.9% 1.2%
2 1.0% 2.0% 2.1% 1.4% 0.7% 0.3%
3 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 7.9% · Draw 18.1% · Away win 72.1%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1