Mon, Sep 22 2025 • 18:30 • Estadio Municipal de El Plantío
Match Finished
Expected Goals
4.26 (league 1.47) 0.46 (league 1.08)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
69.5% 3.7% 1.2%
best score tips
4 - 0
12.2%
3 - 0
11.5%
5 - 0
10.4%
Score & goals probability table
Granada CF
0 1 2 3 4 5
Burgos 0 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 3.8% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 8.1% 3.7% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 11.5% 5.3% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 12.2% 5.6% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 10.4% 4.8% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBurgosGranada CF
Played55
Form53%7%
Attack82%36%
Defense55%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.84 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 112 | 2.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

89%
FT probability

2.5+

63%
FT probability

3.5+

45%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Burgos Granada CF
HATHAT
Played235325
Wins50%33%40%0%0%0%
Draws50%33%40%0%50%20%
Loses0%33%20%100%50%80%

Form: Burgos: WDLDW • Granada CF: LLLDL

League goals

Metric Burgos Granada CF
HATHAT
GF total549224
GF avg2.51.31.80.71.00.8
GA total1457512
GA avg0.51.31.02.32.52.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBurgosGranada CF
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.560%60%60%100%
1.540%40%20%100%
2.540%0%0%40%
3.520%0%0%0%
4.520%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBurgosGranada CF
HATHAT
Clean sheets112000
Failed to score112112

Penalties

MetricBurgosGranada CF
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total20

Streaks

MetricBurgosGranada CF
Wins10
Draws11
Losses13

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-12-3——
Biggest losses—2-11-33-0
Goals For5312
Goals Against1233

Model comparison

MetricBurgosGranada CF
Form89%11%
Att69%31%
Def71%29%
Poisson Distribution91%9%
H2h20%80%
Goals33%67%
Total62.2%37.8%

Advice: Winner : Burgos

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.21 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.29 @ 1xBet
Away3.79 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.63 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.55 @ Betano

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.28 @ 188Bet
No1.71 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Burgos = 4.26 (league 1.47), Granada CF = 0.46 (league 1.08)

Granada CF
0 1 2 3 4 5
Burgos 0 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 3.8% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 8.1% 3.7% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 11.5% 5.3% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 12.2% 5.6% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 10.4% 4.8% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 69.5% · Draw 3.7% · Away win 1.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1