Sun, Sep 21 2025 • 12:00 • Estadio Municipal Alfonso Murube
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.67 (league 1.49) 0.46 (league 1.09)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
35.3% 43.0% 21.6%
best score tips
0 - 0
32.3%
1 - 0
21.7%
0 - 1
14.8%
Score & goals probability table
Zaragoza
0 1 2 3 4 5
AD Ceuta FC 0 32.3% 14.8% 3.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 21.7% 10.0% 2.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 7.3% 3.3% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 1.6% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAD Ceuta FCZaragoza
Played55
Form27%20%
Attack43%21%
Defense14%57%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.23 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)12 | 2.46 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

64%
FT probability

2.5+

45%
FT probability

3.5+

32%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric AD Ceuta FC Zaragoza
HATHAT
Played235325
Wins50%0%20%0%0%0%
Draws0%33%20%67%50%60%
Loses50%67%60%33%50%40%

Form: AD Ceuta FC: LLLWD • Zaragoza: LLDDD

League goals

Metric AD Ceuta FC Zaragoza
HATHAT
GF total246213
GF avg1.01.31.20.70.50.6
GA total21012426
GA avg1.03.32.41.31.01.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAD Ceuta FCZaragoza
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.560%100%60%80%
1.540%60%0%20%
2.520%60%0%20%
3.50%20%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAD Ceuta FCZaragoza
HATHAT
Clean sheets000101
Failed to score112112

Penalties

MetricAD Ceuta FCZaragoza
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricAD Ceuta FCZaragoza
Wins10
Draws00
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-1
Biggest losses0-14-11-31-0
Goals For2311
Goals Against1431

Model comparison

MetricAD Ceuta FCZaragoza
Form57%43%
Att67%33%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution64%36%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total55.3%44.8%

Advice: Double chance : AD Ceuta FC or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.13 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.42 @ Marathonbet
Away3.77 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.20 @ Unibet
Under 2.51.78 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.91 @ Unibet
No1.99 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): AD Ceuta FC = 0.67 (league 1.49), Zaragoza = 0.46 (league 1.09)

Zaragoza
0 1 2 3 4 5
AD Ceuta FC 0 32.3% 14.8% 3.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 21.7% 10.0% 2.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 7.3% 3.3% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 1.6% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 35.3% · Draw 43.0% · Away win 21.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1