Sun, Sep 21 2025 • 16:30 • Estadio La Rosaleda
Match Finished
0 - 1
Expected Goals
1.74 (league 1.49) 1.84 (league 1.09)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
36.3% 22.0% 39.8%
best score tips
1 - 1
8.9%
1 - 2
8.2%
2 - 1
7.8%
Score & goals probability table
Cadiz
0 1 2 3 4 5
Malaga 0 2.8% 5.1% 4.7% 2.9% 1.3% 0.5%
1 4.9% 8.9% 8.2% 5.0% 2.3% 0.8%
2 4.2% 7.8% 7.1% 4.4% 2.0% 0.7%
3 2.5% 4.5% 4.2% 2.5% 1.2% 0.4%
4 1.1% 2.0% 1.8% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2%
5 0.4% 0.7% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMalagaCadiz
Played55
Form53%73%
Attack36%57%
Defense71%64%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 18 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.85 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

76%
FT probability

2.5+

54%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

77%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Malaga Cadiz
HATHAT
Played325325
Wins33%50%40%100%0%60%
Draws67%0%40%0%100%40%
Loses0%50%20%0%0%0%

Form: Malaga: DWWDL • Cadiz: WDWDW

League goals

Metric Malaga Cadiz
HATHAT
GF total415448
GF avg1.30.51.01.32.01.6
GA total314145
GA avg1.00.50.80.32.01.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMalagaCadiz
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.580%60%100%60%
1.520%20%40%20%
2.50%0%20%20%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMalagaCadiz
HATHAT
Clean sheets112202
Failed to score011000

Penalties

MetricMalagaCadiz
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricMalagaCadiz
Wins21
Draws11
Losses00

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-00-12-1
Biggest losses1-0
Goals For2123
Goals Against2113

Model comparison

MetricMalagaCadiz
Form42%58%
Att38%62%
Def56%44%
Poisson Distribution54%46%
H2h7%93%
Goals23%77%
Total36.7%63.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Cadiz

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.30 @ William Hill
Draw3.24 @ Pinnacle
Away3.75 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.41 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.61 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.09 @ Pinnacle
No1.83 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Malaga = 1.74 (league 1.49), Cadiz = 1.84 (league 1.09)

Cadiz
0 1 2 3 4 5
Malaga 0 2.8% 5.1% 4.7% 2.9% 1.3% 0.5%
1 4.9% 8.9% 8.2% 5.0% 2.3% 0.8%
2 4.2% 7.8% 7.1% 4.4% 2.0% 0.7%
3 2.5% 4.5% 4.2% 2.5% 1.2% 0.4%
4 1.1% 2.0% 1.8% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2%
5 0.4% 0.7% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 36.3% · Draw 22.0% · Away win 39.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1