Mon, Sep 29 2025 • 18:30 • Estadio Municipal de Butarque
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.34 (league 1.49) 2.02 (league 1.10)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
25.1% 21.5% 51.4%
best score tips
1 - 2
9.5%
1 - 1
9.4%
0 - 2
7.1%
Score & goals probability table
Castellón
0 1 2 3 4 5
Leganes 0 3.5% 7.0% 7.1% 4.8% 2.4% 1.0%
1 4.7% 9.4% 9.5% 6.4% 3.2% 1.3%
2 3.1% 6.3% 6.4% 4.3% 2.2% 0.9%
3 1.4% 2.8% 2.9% 1.9% 1.0% 0.4%
4 0.5% 1.0% 1.0% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLeganesCastellón
Played55
Form40%33%
Attack42%67%
Defense67%33%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 18 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.88 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

79%
FT probability

2.5+

56%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

79%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Leganes Castellón
HATHAT
Played336336
Wins0%33%17%0%33%17%
Draws67%67%67%67%0%33%
Loses33%0%17%33%67%50%

Form: Leganes: DDDDWL • Castellón: LLDLDW

League goals

Metric Leganes Castellón
HATHAT
GF total336459
GF avg1.01.01.01.31.71.5
GA total4155611
GA avg1.30.30.81.72.01.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLeganesCastellón
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%67%83%100%
1.533%17%33%50%
2.50%0%33%33%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLeganesCastellón
HATHAT
Clean sheets022000
Failed to score112101

Penalties

MetricLeganesCastellón
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricLeganesCastellón
Wins10
Draws41
Losses02

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins0-21-3
Biggest losses0-10-13-1
Goals For2233
Goals Against2133

Model comparison

MetricLeganesCastellón
Form55%45%
Att38%62%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution45%55%
H2h20%80%
Goals0%100%
Total45.0%55.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Castellón

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.48 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.46 @ Marathonbet
Away3.02 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.00 @ 188Bet
Under 2.51.92 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.74 @ Unibet
No2.17 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Leganes = 1.34 (league 1.49), Castellón = 2.02 (league 1.10)

Castellón
0 1 2 3 4 5
Leganes 0 3.5% 7.0% 7.1% 4.8% 2.4% 1.0%
1 4.7% 9.4% 9.5% 6.4% 3.2% 1.3%
2 3.1% 6.3% 6.4% 4.3% 2.2% 0.9%
3 1.4% 2.8% 2.9% 1.9% 1.0% 0.4%
4 0.5% 1.0% 1.0% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 25.1% · Draw 21.5% · Away win 51.4%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1