Sun, Sep 28 2025 • 14:15 • Estadio Municipal de El Plantío
Match Finished
2 - 1
Expected Goals
0.67 (league 1.49) 0.32 (league 1.09)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
39.0% 45.5% 15.5%
best score tips
0 - 0
37.1%
1 - 0
24.9%
0 - 1
11.9%
Score & goals probability table
Malaga
0 1 2 3 4 5
Burgos 0 37.1% 11.9% 1.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 24.9% 8.0% 1.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 8.3% 2.7% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 1.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBurgosMalaga
Played55
Form40%47%
Attack56%44%
Defense44%56%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 14 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 14 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

57%
FT probability

2.5+

40%
FT probability

3.5+

29%
FT probability

BTTS

58%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Burgos Malaga
HATHAT
Played336426
Wins33%33%33%25%50%33%
Draws67%33%50%50%0%33%
Loses0%33%17%25%50%33%

Form: Burgos: WDLDWD • Malaga: DWWDLL

League goals

Metric Burgos Malaga
HATHAT
GF total6410415
GF avg2.01.31.71.00.50.8
GA total246415
GA avg0.71.31.01.00.50.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBurgosMalaga
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%67%67%67%
1.533%33%17%17%
2.533%0%0%0%
3.517%0%0%0%
4.517%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBurgosMalaga
HATHAT
Clean sheets112112
Failed to score112112

Penalties

MetricBurgosMalaga
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total20

Streaks

MetricBurgosMalaga
Wins12
Draws11
Losses10

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-12-31-00-1
Biggest losses2-10-11-0
Goals For5321
Goals Against1221

Model comparison

MetricBurgosMalaga
Form46%54%
Att56%44%
Def44%56%
Poisson Distribution73%27%
H2h75%25%
Goals63%38%
Total59.5%40.7%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Burgos or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.22 @ 1xBet
Draw3.05 @ Unibet
Away4.18 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.53.10 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.43 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.57 @ 188Bet
No1.60 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Burgos = 0.67 (league 1.49), Malaga = 0.32 (league 1.09)

Malaga
0 1 2 3 4 5
Burgos 0 37.1% 11.9% 1.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 24.9% 8.0% 1.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 8.3% 2.7% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 1.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 39.0% · Draw 45.5% · Away win 15.5%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1