Sun, Sep 28 2025 • 14:15 • Estadio Nuevo Mirandilla
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.91 (league 1.47) 0.36 (league 1.09)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
81.0% 8.9% 2.6%
best score tips
2 - 0
16.1%
3 - 0
15.7%
4 - 0
11.4%
Score & goals probability table
AD Ceuta FC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Cadiz 0 3.8% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 11.1% 4.0% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 16.1% 5.8% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 15.7% 5.6% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 11.4% 4.1% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 6.6% 2.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCadizAD Ceuta FC
Played55
Form73%47%
Attack89%78%
Defense44%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.67 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 19 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

84%
FT probability

2.5+

59%
FT probability

3.5+

42%
FT probability

BTTS

72%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Cadiz AD Ceuta FC
HATHAT
Played336336
Wins100%33%67%67%0%33%
Draws0%67%33%0%33%17%
Loses0%0%0%33%67%50%

Form: Cadiz: WDWDWW • AD Ceuta FC: LLLWDW

League goals

Metric Cadiz AD Ceuta FC
HATHAT
GF total459347
GF avg1.31.71.51.01.31.2
GA total14521012
GA avg0.31.30.80.73.32.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCadizAD Ceuta FC
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%50%67%83%
1.533%17%33%50%
2.517%17%17%50%
3.50%0%0%17%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCadizAD Ceuta FC
HATHAT
Clean sheets213101
Failed to score000112

Penalties

MetricCadizAD Ceuta FC
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricCadizAD Ceuta FC
Wins11
Draws11
Losses03

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-10-12-1—
Biggest losses——0-14-1
Goals For2323
Goals Against1314

Model comparison

MetricCadizAD Ceuta FC
Form61%39%
Att53%47%
Def64%36%
Poisson Distribution90%10%
H2h0%100%
Goals0%100%
Total67.0%33.0%

Advice: Winner : Cadiz

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.16 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.44 @ 1xBet
Away4.00 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.25 @ Unibet
Under 2.51.73 @ SBO

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.02 @ Unibet
No1.92 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Cadiz = 2.91 (league 1.47), AD Ceuta FC = 0.36 (league 1.09)

AD Ceuta FC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Cadiz 0 3.8% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 11.1% 4.0% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 16.1% 5.8% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 15.7% 5.6% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 11.4% 4.1% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 6.6% 2.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 81.0% · Draw 8.9% · Away win 2.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1