Sun, Oct 5 2025 • 14:15 • Estadio SkyFi Castalia
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.87 (league 1.49) 1.09 (league 1.09)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
28.7% 30.9% 40.3%
best score tips
0 - 1
15.3%
0 - 0
14.0%
1 - 1
13.4%
Score & goals probability table
Sporting Gijon
0 1 2 3 4 5
Castellón 0 14.0% 15.3% 8.4% 3.0% 0.8% 0.2%
1 12.2% 13.4% 7.3% 2.7% 0.7% 0.2%
2 5.3% 5.8% 3.2% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
3 1.6% 1.7% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCastellónSporting Gijon
Played55
Form53%20%
Attack56%44%
Defense56%38%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.87 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.410 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

76%
FT probability

2.5+

54%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

74%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Castellón Sporting Gijon
HATHAT
Played347437
Wins0%50%29%50%33%43%
Draws67%0%29%0%0%0%
Loses33%50%43%50%67%57%

Form: Castellón: LLDLDWW • Sporting Gijon: WWWLLLL

League goals

Metric Castellón Sporting Gijon
HATHAT
GF total46108210
GF avg1.31.51.42.00.71.4
GA total56118311
GA avg1.71.51.62.01.01.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCastellónSporting Gijon
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.586%86%86%71%
1.529%43%43%43%
2.529%29%14%29%
3.50%0%0%14%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCastellónSporting Gijon
HATHAT
Clean sheets011112
Failed to score101011

Penalties

MetricCastellónSporting Gijon
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricCastellónSporting Gijon
Wins03
Draws10
Losses20

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-32-10-1
Biggest losses0-13-13-42-1
Goals For3331
Goals Against3342

Model comparison

MetricCastellónSporting Gijon
Form73%27%
Att56%44%
Def59%41%
Poisson Distribution52%48%
H2h50%50%
Goals54%46%
Total57.3%42.7%

Advice: Double chance : Castellón or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.92 @ 188Bet
Draw3.84 @ Pinnacle
Away4.02 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.78 @ Betano
Under 2.52.13 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.69 @ 188Bet
No2.26 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Castellón = 0.87 (league 1.49), Sporting Gijon = 1.09 (league 1.09)

Sporting Gijon
0 1 2 3 4 5
Castellón 0 14.0% 15.3% 8.4% 3.0% 0.8% 0.2%
1 12.2% 13.4% 7.3% 2.7% 0.7% 0.2%
2 5.3% 5.8% 3.2% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
3 1.6% 1.7% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 28.7% · Draw 30.9% · Away win 40.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1