Fri, Oct 3 2025 • 18:30 • Estadio Municipal Alfonso Murube
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.87 (league 1.49) 0.45 (league 1.09)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
43.7% 38.2% 18.1%
best score tips
0 - 0
26.6%
1 - 0
23.2%
0 - 1
12.0%
Score & goals probability table
Eibar
0 1 2 3 4 5
AD Ceuta FC 0 26.6% 12.0% 2.7% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
1 23.2% 10.5% 2.4% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
2 10.1% 4.6% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 2.9% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAD Ceuta FCEibar
Played55
Form53%47%
Attack70%60%
Defense20%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.46 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.65 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

62%
FT probability

2.5+

44%
FT probability

3.5+

31%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric AD Ceuta FC Eibar
HATHAT
Played347437
Wins67%0%29%75%0%43%
Draws0%50%29%25%33%29%
Loses33%50%43%0%67%29%

Form: AD Ceuta FC: LLLWDWD • Eibar: DWLWLWD

League goals

Metric AD Ceuta FC Eibar
HATHAT
GF total3478210
GF avg1.01.01.02.00.71.4
GA total21012246
GA avg0.72.51.70.51.30.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAD Ceuta FCEibar
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.557%71%86%71%
1.529%43%43%14%
2.514%43%14%0%
3.50%14%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAD Ceuta FCEibar
HATHAT
Clean sheets112202
Failed to score123011

Penalties

MetricAD Ceuta FCEibar
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricAD Ceuta FCEibar
Wins11
Draws11
Losses31

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-13-0
Biggest losses0-14-12-1
Goals For2331
Goals Against1412

Model comparison

MetricAD Ceuta FCEibar
Form53%47%
Att54%46%
Def38%62%
Poisson Distribution74%26%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total54.8%45.3%

Advice: Double chance : AD Ceuta FC or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.98 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.20 @ Bet365
Away2.62 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.42 @ Betano
Under 2.51.66 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.04 @ Unibet
No1.92 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): AD Ceuta FC = 0.87 (league 1.49), Eibar = 0.45 (league 1.09)

Eibar
0 1 2 3 4 5
AD Ceuta FC 0 26.6% 12.0% 2.7% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
1 23.2% 10.5% 2.4% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
2 10.1% 4.6% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 2.9% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 43.7% · Draw 38.2% · Away win 18.1%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1