Sat, Oct 4 2025 • 16:30 • Estadio El Alcoraz
Match Finished
2 - 1
Expected Goals
0.87 (league 1.49) 0.95 (league 1.10)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
31.6% 32.6% 35.7%
best score tips
0 - 0
16.2%
0 - 1
15.3%
1 - 0
14.1%
Score & goals probability table
Burgos
0 1 2 3 4 5
Huesca 0 16.2% 15.3% 7.3% 2.3% 0.5% 0.1%
1 14.1% 13.4% 6.4% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1%
2 6.2% 5.9% 2.8% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 1.8% 1.7% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricHuescaBurgos
Played55
Form40%53%
Attack36%64%
Defense27%45%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.87 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.66 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

66%
FT probability

2.5+

47%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Huesca Burgos
HATHAT
Played437437
Wins50%33%43%50%33%43%
Draws25%0%14%50%33%43%
Loses25%67%43%0%33%14%

Form: Huesca: DWWLWLL • Burgos: WDLDWDW

League goals

Metric Huesca Burgos
HATHAT
GF total4268412
GF avg1.00.70.92.01.31.7
GA total369347
GA avg0.82.01.30.81.31.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineHuescaBurgos
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.571%71%71%71%
1.514%29%43%29%
2.50%14%29%0%
3.50%14%14%0%
4.50%0%14%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricHuescaBurgos
HATHAT
Clean sheets112112
Failed to score112112

Penalties

MetricHuescaBurgos
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total02

Streaks

MetricHuescaBurgos
Wins21
Draws11
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-10-15-12-3
Biggest losses0-14-02-1
Goals For2153
Goals Against1412

Model comparison

MetricHuescaBurgos
Form43%57%
Att36%64%
Def43%57%
Poisson Distribution55%45%
H2h50%50%
Goals58%42%
Total47.5%52.5%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Burgos

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.45 @ Betano
Draw3.00 @ Bet365
Away3.67 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.53.40 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.37 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.62 @ Bet365
No1.60 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Huesca = 0.87 (league 1.49), Burgos = 0.95 (league 1.10)

Burgos
0 1 2 3 4 5
Huesca 0 16.2% 15.3% 7.3% 2.3% 0.5% 0.1%
1 14.1% 13.4% 6.4% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1%
2 6.2% 5.9% 2.8% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 1.8% 1.7% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 31.6% · Draw 32.6% · Away win 35.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1